Technical analysis of the semiconductor sector via SOXX & the leading semiconductors stocks as well as the leading chip equipment & materials stocks providing both the near-term as well as the longer-term outlook for the sector as well as the leading semiconductor stocks. The following ETF & stocks are covered in this order: SOXX, ASML, AMAT, LRCX, KLAC, OLED, IPGP, TER, TSM, INTC, NVDA, TXN, QCOM & AVGO.
As a follow-up to the recent update on the SOXX / SOXS Active Short Trade, highlighting the objective short entry or add-on to that position as SOXX is currently backtesting the recently broken primary uptrend line from below, here's a few leading semiconductors stocks that help to support my case that the semiconductors are most likely poised for a substantial correction in the coming months. Any or all of these stocks could provide objective short entries but in keeping the official trade ideas manageable, for the time being I will leave SOXX / SOXS as the only official short trade idea [...]
The following video provides technical analysis of the semiconductor sector, making the case for a significant bear market in the coming months as well as my top picks for individual semiconductor stocks, including short entry points & price targets. The charts of the following ETFs & stocks are covered in this order: SOXX, SMH, INTC, TSM, QCOM, TXN, AVGO, NVDA, AMAT, NXPI, MU, LRCX, MCHP, SWKS, XLNX, MXIM, MRVL, MSCC, IDTI & ASML.
As an update to the recent SOXL (3x long semiconductor etf) short trade, I wanted to reiterate that the official stop remains any move above 31.00 and that it still appears to me that the semiconductor sector is poised for the next major leg down. The first chart below is the SMH (Market Vectors Semiconductor ETF) 10-year weekly. While this last minute end-of-week stick save to close (most likely) back above the primary uptrend line is certainly bullish on face value, my best guess is that it will prove to be a bull trap with prices immediately reversing & closing back [...]