As a sub-category of Market Analysis, the Fixed Income category contains charts and commentary associated with all classes of fixed income such as Treasury Bonds, Corporate Bonds, Municipal Bonds, Junk Bonds, etc…

Swing Trade Ideas & Setups (video)

This video begins with an update on the Nasdaq 100 index & the potential stop-raid scenario highlighted earlier today followed by coverage of several trade ideas that stand out in the following order (starting at the 7:49 mark): Crude oil, lumber futures & the timber/forestry sector, Bitcoin via futures & GBTC, the US Dollar via futures & the EUR/USD pair along with a quick discussion of gold & GDX. Starting at the 25:24 mark, all active trade ideas on RSOTC followed by two unoffficial trades are covered in this order: Long Trades: XLP (stoppped out on Friday but still looks good), [...]

2018-04-23T16:54:59+00:00 Apr 23, 2018 4:54pm|Categories: Equity Market Analysis, Fixed Income (Bonds), Forex (Currencies)|Tags: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , |0 Comments

Video Update On Long Trade Ideas

This video provides updates on all of the Active Long Trade ideas on Right Side Of The Chart at this time as well as a few additional, related trade ideas. For this wishing to skip ahead to a particular trade idea, the following stocks & ETFs/ETNs are covered in this order:  CANE, CMSCA, ENDP, IEF, TLT, SHY, XLE & XLP.

2018-03-27T12:03:41+00:00 Mar 27, 2018 12:03pm|Categories: Equity Market Analysis, Fixed Income (Bonds), Unofficial Long Ideas|Tags: , , , , , , , , |0 Comments

IEF & TLT Swing Trade Updates

TLT (20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF) has broken out above the 119.33ish resistance level as well as this potential downtrend line on the 60-minute chart , which opens the door for a continued move up to the second price target* at 122.06. Previous & updated daily charts followed by the updated 60-minute chart of TLT below: click on first chart to expand, then click on the right to advance to the next expanded image or pinch-zoom on mobile IEF (7-10 year Treasury ETF) is currently challenging the 102.61 resistance level. A solid break & close above that level would [...]

TLT First Price Target Hit

TLT (20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF), which was recently posted as an unofficial trade idea, mainly because we were already long IEF, the 7-10 year Treasury Bond ETF, has already hit the first price target for a total gain of 1.90% which equates to a beta-adjusted gain of 2.9% - 3.4% beta-adjusted gain, as the beta-adjusted position size for this relatively low-risk/low-volatility trade was 1.5-1.8 (50-80% higher than a typical position size). My expectations for TLT are in alignment with at least my near-term expectations for the stock market. That would be a pullback in TLT here on this [...]

2018-03-01T15:25:39+00:00 Mar 1, 2018 3:25pm|Categories: Fixed Income (Bonds), Unofficial Long Ideas|Tags: |0 Comments

Short vs. Long-Term Treasury Rates & What They Might Be Telling The Stock Market

Member @jrandhawa posted the following request in the trading room: Randy Please discuss the charts of 2yr & shorter duration treasuries relative to 10yr treasury too. Thanks in advance. Even if one has little to no desire to trade or invest in treasury bonds, most experienced stock traders & investors will keep one eye on the bond market at all times as it can often provide clues as to where the stock market might be headed. Certain developments such as an increase or decrease in credit spreads (the differential in rates between treasuries & lower quality corporate bonds such as junk [...]

2018-02-26T12:46:01+00:00 Feb 26, 2018 12:46pm|Categories: Fixed Income (Bonds)|Tags: , , , , |0 Comments

IEF & TLT Trade Update + Treasury Bond Analysis

$TNX (10-year US Treasury Yield Index) has made an impulsive breakdown below the recently highlighted uptrend line, thereby triggering a sell signal on 10-year treasury yields which correlates to a buy signal on the IEF (7-10 year Treasury Bond Fund ETF) Active Long Swing Trade. Treasury bond prices (IEF) are inversely correlated with yields ($TNX) meaning one goes up when the other goes down & vice versa. Member @jrandhawa in the trading room requested my near-term & longer-term outlook for $TNX which is essential a move down to the 26.16ish level before a resumption of the update with potential support levels [...]

2018-02-26T10:28:01+00:00 Feb 26, 2018 10:24am|Categories: Active Trades - Long, Fixed Income (Bonds), Long Setups|Tags: |0 Comments

TLT Unofficial Trade Idea

As we already have the closely related IEF (7-10 year Treasury Bond ETF) listed as an Active Swing Trade idea, I'm passing this one along as an unofficial trade idea. Official trade ideas always list specific price targets, suggested stops & beta-adjusted positions sizes. Additionally, all official trade ideas are always followed up with updates such as when price targets are reached along the way as well as when the final price target or the maximum suggested stop are hit. TLT daily Feb 22nd Due to the amount of time & effort involved with annotating the charts, composing & [...]

2018-02-22T14:26:49+00:00 Feb 22, 2018 2:23pm|Categories: Fixed Income (Bonds), Unofficial Long Ideas|Tags: |0 Comments