Member @jim requested an update on IWM (Russell 2000 Index tracking ETF) which has played a very impressive game of catch-up to the other major US stock indices over the last two sessions following a very sharp period of underperformance. I don't see anything that stands out on the 60-minute chart other than the impressive [...]
Analysis of the US stock market via SPY, QQQ & IWM as well as the outlook for gold (GLD) and US treasury bonds (TLT).
After a sharp drop in the first hour of trading, QQQ & SPY have experienced snap-back rallies into resistance with the MACD signal line recently crossing into bearish territory (short-term trend) for the first time in over a month. Note how well the MACD signal line/9-ema has defined the short-term trend as bullish or bearish [...]
Global equity markets are rallying in a 'risk-on' trade while safe haven assets such as treasury bonds & gold are being sold as a result of the French elections & lessened probability of a Frexit. Here's a snapshot of the risk-on & risk-off assets: Gold, U.S. Treasury Bonds & a few the major US stock [...]
Back on April 6th in the post titled Muni Bombs, I had outlined the scenario in the first weekly chart of MUB (Municipal Bond ETF) posted below, stating that "A break below this uptrend line is likely to bring MUB (iShares S&P National Municipal Bond ETF) down to levels which will have wiped at least [...]
This video covers the long-term outlook for the bond market as well as some of the near-term developments as well as the potential implications that they could have on the stock market. This video goes in-depth with an overview & discussion on the various type of fixed-income instruments, such as treasury bonds, municipal bonds as [...]
In studying the charts this weekend, I noticed what appears to be an unusual alignment between the typical "risk-on" & "risk-off" asset classes. While the case for the next major leg down in US stocks that I have been making recently was considerably strengthened on Friday, I find it a bit unusual to see what [...]