Swing Trade Ideas for March 7, 2018 (video)

Technical analysis on some of the swing trading ideas that stand out at this time including both official & unofficial trades on Right Side Of The Chart. The following trade ideas are (roughly) covered in this order: SPY, SOXX, UGAZ, XENE, RKDA, TNDM, RDUS, AOBC, MJ & cannabis stocks (update, not a trade idea at this time), IEF, TLT, XLE, ENDP, OMI, PTX, M & OREX. playback speed can be increased in the settings to reduce the duration of the video

TLT First Price Target Hit

TLT (20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF), which was recently posted as an unofficial trade idea, mainly because we were already long IEF, the 7-10 year Treasury Bond ETF, has already hit the first price target for a total gain of 1.90% which equates to a beta-adjusted gain of 2.9% - 3.4% beta-adjusted gain, as the beta-adjusted position size for this relatively low-risk/low-volatility trade was 1.5-1.8 (50-80% higher than a typical position size). My expectations for TLT are in alignment with at least my near-term expectations for the stock market. That would be a pullback in TLT here on this [...]

Short vs. Long-Term Treasury Rates & What They Might Be Telling The Stock Market

Member @jrandhawa posted the following request in the trading room: Randy Please discuss the charts of 2yr & shorter duration treasuries relative to 10yr treasury too. Thanks in advance. Even if one has little to no desire to trade or invest in treasury bonds, most experienced stock traders & investors will keep one eye on the bond market at all times as it can often provide clues as to where the stock market might be headed. Certain developments such as an increase or decrease in credit spreads (the differential in rates between treasuries & lower quality corporate bonds such as junk [...]

Feb 26, 2018 12:46pm|Categories: Fixed Income (Bonds)|Tags: , , , , |0 Comments

TLT Unofficial Trade Idea

As we already have the closely related IEF (7-10 year Treasury Bond ETF) listed as an Active Swing Trade idea, I'm passing this one along as an unofficial trade idea. Official trade ideas always list specific price targets, suggested stops & beta-adjusted positions sizes. Additionally, all official trade ideas are always followed up with updates such as when price targets are reached along the way as well as when the final price target or the maximum suggested stop are hit. TLT daily Feb 22nd Due to the amount of time & effort involved with annotating the charts, composing & [...]

Market Analysis & Trade Ideas (video)

Technical analysis on the US stock market, oil, gold, energy stocks & several trade ideas that stand out at this time. There is quite a bit covered in this video so you might want to increase the playback speed of the video (under settings) to 1.25 or 1.5x to reduce the duration.

IWM Approaching Top Of Trading Range, General Market Commentary

Member @jim requested an update on IWM (Russell 2000 Index tracking ETF) which has played a very impressive game of catch-up to the other major US stock indices over the last two sessions following a very sharp period of underperformance. I don't see anything that stands out on the 60-minute chart other than the impressive rally from yesterday & today nor can I make a decent case for either a reversal soon or a continuation of this near-term rally. IWM daily June 2nd I can say from looking at the daily chart above, IWM is once again approaching the [...]

Jun 2, 2017 12:12pm|Categories: Equity Market Analysis, Fixed Income (Bonds), Gold & Commodities|Tags: , , , , |Comments Off on IWM Approaching Top Of Trading Range, General Market Commentary

Monday Morning Market Overview

I wanted to post a quick overview of the financial markets with the near to intermediate-term outlook for most of the major asset classes. Charts & detail commentary will follow on any actionable trading opportunities as well as the active trade ideas on the site. Starting with the US equity markets, despite the market's near-term oversold/bounce off support/rally into Options Expiration late last week, by nearly all metrics that I follow, the sell signals & bearish trend indicators on both the 60-minute as well as the daily time frames remain intact as of Friday's close. So far, that end of week [...]

May 22, 2017 9:38am|Categories: Equity Market Analysis, Fixed Income (Bonds), Gold & Commodities|Tags: , , , , , , , , , |Comments Off on Monday Morning Market Overview