Technical analysis of SPY, QQQ & the top components of the Nasdaq 100 to provide the near & intermediate-term outlook for the US stock market as well as some potential developments to watch for. The following securities are covered in the following order: ES, NQ, QQQ, AAPL, AMZN, GOOGL, MSFT, FB, INTC, ADBE followed by brief coverage of the QQQ 60-minute chart. playback speed can be increased in the settings to reduce video duration
The outlook for the US stock market via SPY, QQQ, & IWM followed by analysis on GLD, GDX, SMH, WEAT, JJG & DBA.
The following short trades have either exceeded their suggested stop(s) or no longer look compelling from an risk-reward perspective and will be moved to the Completed Trades category: ADBE: Has traded slightly above the suggested stop of 77.09 over the last several trading sessions, resulting in a relatively small loss of 2.8%. As the R/R on this trade was way above average (over 10:1 R/R to the final target), in hindsight, I should have listed multiple stops, not just the sole suggested stop 77.09 which was based on the distance to the first profit target at 69.85. With that being said, [...]
ADBE (Adobe Systems Inc) will be added as an Active Short Trade here following the recent breakdown & backtest of the bearish rising wedge pattern shown on this daily chart. Being that that primary trend remains bullish at this time, my preferred price target is T1 (69.85) although T3 is the current final target and will likely become my preferred swing target should the US equity markets begin to roll over soon as expected. The suggested stop for this trade is any move over 77.09, which is slightly above the recent highs/backtest of the wedge pattern. I've listed T2 [...]