The following video covers both the near & longer-term outlook for various commodity tracking ETNs & ETFs. In addition to stand-alone swing trading opportunities, commodities can also provide diversification within an investment portfolio or trading account due to their low correlation with stocks, bonds or other asset classes. The following ETP's are covered in this order: GAZ, UNG, SOYB, CUT, WOOD, KOL, JJC, UGA, WEAT, CORN, USO, DBA, JJG, OIL, COW, JO, SGG & NIB.
The following notes & charts outline the entry criterion, price targets, suggested stop & beta-adjusted position size for a swing trade in SGG, Sugar ETN.
Watching for an impulsive breakout above this bull flag continuation pattern following the recent bullish falling wedge breakout on SGG (Sugar ETN). Unofficial trade idea at this time although SGG is under consideration as an official trade idea. Price targets would be the same as the recent long swing trade that was stopped out just before SGG printed the bullish engulfing candlestick on June 29th. SGG daily July 6th
We had a brief & shallow stop run on the SGG (sugar ETN) Active Long Swing Trade last week with the ETN printing a weekly close back above the stop level & sugar still looking ripe for a reversal soon. That resulted in a relatively minor loss of 3.6% as I was keeping stops tight on this one. As $SUGAR (sugar continuous contract) is approaching support with very powerful bullish divergences below the steep falling wedge pattern, sugar is likely to rally sharply following a breakout of the wedge soon, just as it has typically done follow previous sharp downtrends in [...]
Although we don't have any technical evidence of a bottom or potential reversal, I believe the R/R for a long entry on SGG (Sugar ETN) here at support is favorable. SGG will be added as an Active Long Swing Trade around current levels (~28.40). The current price targets are T1 at 30.96 & T2 at 31.84. The maximum suggested stop is any move below 27.38 with a suggested beta-adjustment of 1.1 (10% above a typical position size). Daily charts of SGG & $SUGAR (Sugar Continuous Contract, EOD) below.
As mentioned in this morning's market update, various agricultural commodities appear to have some of the most attractive R/R profiles right now, especially for long-side trades. The charts seem to indicate that many of these ag commodities appear to be setting up for attractive swing trades with rallies that could last several months & even into 2018. Adding commodities to one's portfolio, whether a trading account or investment account, allows for diversification with little to no correlation with the stock market, fixed income, precious metals or other asset classes. Each of these commodity tracking ETNs (or one can use futures, if [...]
Going forward, I plan to do regular updates covering the most attractive sectors, commodities and/or countries as well as the most bearish (for short trading opportunities). In doing so, I will cover the tracking ETFs, which may help less active traders & investors, as well as those the prefer the simplicity & diversity afforded by trading or investing in ETFs vs. individual stocks. The diversity provided by the various holdings within an ETF can also be particularly useful when trading during earnings season, which is currently underway, as the risk of being caught on the wrong side of an earnings-induced gap [...]