Technical analysis & swing trade ideas as well as a follow-up on the recent post-earnings predictions & future (tonight) predictions for the market-leading stocks as peak-earnings week concludes after the close today.
YouTube link: https://youtu.be/5OcC34J9jHs
***Note: The issue preventing playback on the video previously posted today has been fixed.***
Below is a summary of the video coverage, including hyperlinked timestamps, key technical levels, objective entries, and price targets for the various indexes, stocks, and commodities discussed.
Video Overview & Structure
- 00:01 – Intro & Earnings Outlook: Mid-session market update recapping recent earnings predictions and previewing major reporting tech giants.
- 01:05 – Trade Idea Mechanics & Website Updates: Guidance on navigating official long/short trade setups, website summaries, and hyperlink formatting.
Follow-Ups & Earnings Recaps
- 03:40 – MarketAxess Holdings (MKTX): Updated long trade follow-up following a recent breakout above the downtrend line at 114. Bounced toward the primary target zone around $158.10 and the 200-day moving average (~30% to 44% gain) before momentum overshoot.
- 06:43 – Tesla Inc. (TSLA): Recapped post-earnings downside call played out; dropped 20% following report.
- 07:14 – Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL): Downside call verified with an initial 7% drop to test its 200-day moving average. Broke primary uptrend line off April 2025 lows. Objective downside trigger remains a break below the $313.78–$314 support zone to target 20% downside.
- 18:24 – ServiceNow Inc. (NOW): Maintained neutral stance around the trendline support level.
- 18:43 – International Business Machines (IBM): Post-earnings upside call validated. Active official long trade recently encountered resistance near the bottom of a large overhead gap.
- 20:24 – United Rentals Inc. (URI): Post-earnings pop faded due to a divergent high. Key level to watch for short conviction is a breakdown below $1,010, targeting the $907.85 and $832 levels near its long-term uptrend line.
- 22:25 – Lockheed Martin Corp. (LMT): Reached the initial T4 final target from the recent long trade following a bullish falling wedge breakout before pulling back to T2 support. Objective buy/re-entry zone highlighted.
- 24:47 – Intel Corp. (INTC): Downside call verified post-earnings; hit initial target at $80.39 with secondary target remaining at $69.89 (confluence of 200-day moving average and primary uptrend line). Re-shorting zone between current levels up to the 50-day moving average.
- 26:21 – Comfort Systems USA Inc. (FIX): AI data center HVAC play predicted to fall following earnings dropped 18–19% post-earnings to hit $1,505 target before a reflexive bounce to resistance under its 50-day moving average.
- 27:24 – Newmont Corp. (NEM): Bullish stance maintained post-earnings as part of broader long gold miners trade setup.
Major Earnings Predictions & Index Analysis
- 28:15 – Microsoft Corp. (MSFT): Surged 17% post-earnings past the 200-day moving average. Expecting momentum-fueled overshoot to potentially fade back toward key support/200-day moving averages if broader market turns.
- 34:25 – Meta Platforms Inc. (META): Downside prediction validated with a 9% post-earnings drop.
- 35:44 – Apple Inc. (AAPL): Bearish outlook driven by large weekly negative divergence and trendline breakdown. Predicting an objective move down toward its 200-day moving average (~25% historic extension threshold). Watch for failure below the $316.92 former all-time high level.
- 43:12 – Amazon.com Inc. (AMZN): Neutral/mixed read on a sloppy daily chart. Bullish positive divergence at $263.30 support countered by bearish PPO zero-line rejection.
- 47:13 – Invesco QQQ Trust ($NDX / QQQ): Analysis of short trade setups in the Nasdaq 100 ahead of major earnings. Looking for profit-taking into market close and evaluating targets down to T4.
- 49:12 – Treasury Yields (TYX / TNX): Analysis of 30-Year ($TYX) and 10-Year ($TNX) Treasury yields breaking out to multi-decade highs last seen prior to the 2000 and 2007 bear markets, signaling macro pressure on equities.
Ticker symbols covered in this video: MKTX, TSLA, GOOGL, NOW, IBM, URI, LMT, INTC, FIX, NEM, MSFT, META, AAPL, AMZN, QQQ, $NDX, $TYX,$TNX
As always, the ticker symbols covered in each post/video are located as hyperlinked ticker “tags” below each post on RSOTC.com. Clicking on any ticker tag will load all previous posts covering that particular security, starting with the most recent.