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ALK Short Trade Update & New Objective Entry

ALK (Alaska Air Group Inc) was added as a Short Trade Setup back in early January, going on to trigger a short entry & then hitting the second profit target about a month later for a 17% gain. As noted both before & after T2 was hit, a "significant reaction" was expected off that level & that is exactly what occurred. ALK has now come full circle by backtesting the the Ascending Broadening Wedge pattern that was the trigger for the short entry in early January. As such, ALK offers an objective add-on, new short entry or re-entry for those who booked profits at T2 with a new suggested stop of a daily close above 80.00

ALK daily Feb 29th

ALK daily Feb 29th

Adding to the case for another short entry, add-on or re-entry into ALK is the fact that this backtest of the Ascending Broadening Wedge pattern on the daily chart above coincides with the more significant backtest of the primary (former bull market) uptrend line on this 10-year weekly chart as well as the key 40-week ema. Previous notes & charts on the ALK trade can be referenced by clicking on the ALK symbol tag at the bottom of this post or under the Active Short Trades category. Also note that as Alaska Air offers an objective short entry at this time, this trade is categorized under all three short trade ideas categories: Short Trade Setups, Active Short Trades & Completed Short Trades (as ALK as already hit two of the 4 official price targets listed on the daily chart).

ALK weekly Feb 29th

ALK weekly Feb 29th

ALK is another good example of why multiple price targets are listed on the trade ideas on RSOTC as micro-managing the trades around these levels can produce returns far in excess of the gains measured simply from the original entry price to the final target. This is one of the key differences between active trading and passive investing (not to mention the accelerated gains from active trading).

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Feb 29, 2016 3:35pm|Categories: Completed Trades - Short|Tags: |6 Comments

6 Comments

  1. Shambo February 29, 2016 3:52 pm at 3:52 pm

    looks nice, thanks Randy.

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  2. Mrg5a February 29, 2016 4:14 pm at 4:14 pm

    https://www.tradingview.com/x/PfXfKfwL/

    On the hourly, seeing MACD and RSI divergence. Thanks for the heads up. @rsotc Any Suggestions on stops?

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  3. snp February 29, 2016 4:34 pm at 4:34 pm

    all airline stocks look near resistance. ual, dal, luv

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  4. mowens707 February 29, 2016 8:23 pm at 8:23 pm

    Just started following your work. Really like your charts and analysis.

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  5. Francesco Schettino March 1, 2016 3:56 am at 3:56 am

    Thanks to you pointing out ALK a few weeks ago, I made a handly little profit. I’ll definitely join you in shorting it in hope for a repeat…

    Thank you, Randy, for sharing your insights, thoughts and ideas!

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  6. rsotc March 1, 2016 8:31 am at 8:31 am

    @shambo – Anytime.

    @snp Yep, quite a few airline stocks at or approaching resistance including JBLU which just reversed off the 23.76 R level, SAVE (big Oct 14/15 gap backfill) and SKWY (18.60 R + Dec 31/Jan 4th gap. I also see some of the beat down airlines, particularly non-US carries, that appear to be setting up bullishly. I might share some of the charts in the trading room or as official trade ideas soon.

    @mowens707– Welcome!

    @francesco-schettino – Glad to hear. Congratulations & good luck on the next one.

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