TLT (20-30 yr Treasury bond ETF, or /ZB 30-yr T-bond futures) offers an objective long entry on this most recent divergent low (60m & daily) at support (daily chart). 60-minute & daily charts below.

TLT 60m Dec 23rd

TLT 60m Dec 23rd

TLT daily Dec 23rd

TLT daily Dec 23rd

Based on the relative large but still unconfirmed divergences building on the daily charts of TLT & /TYX (30-yr Treasury yield), additional price targets may be added if this trade starts to play out. As such, suggested stops should be inline with one’s preferred price targets using a favorable R/R or 2:1 or better.

Due to the inherently low volatility of Treasury bonds and the below-average gain/loss potential, the suggested beta-adjusted position size for this trade is 2.0+ (2x or better than a typical trade on the S&P 500 index). One could also consider scaling in here and down to, but not below, the bottom of the support zone.

+4