SPY 60 minute July 17th

SPY 60 minute July 17th

The SPY just hammered off the bottom of this 60 minute bearish rising wedge pattern. Assuming that prices break below the pattern before moving above the recent highs, my two downside targets are as shown here. If so, T2 is my preferred target, which is the bottom of the 5/27 gap as well as the 50% Fib retracement level. Should prices move above the recent highs, these targets may be revised.

As far as the recent short trade ideas, one should always keep one eye on the broad markets when timing entries & exits on your positions. Support is support until broken and as I pointed out in the previous email, the SPY had just fallen to the bottom of the rising wedge pattern, where at least a minor reaction (bounce or consolidation) was likely. So far, the SPY has hammered off the bottom of the wedge & with prices still in close proximity to that uptrend line, i.e. – support, it would be prudent to wait for prices to either break below the wedge or bounce back to a decent resistance level before adding any new short exposure.

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