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	Comments on: XLF Financial Sector 1st Target Hit &#038; Still Going	</title>
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	<link>https://rightsideofthechart.com/xlf-financial-sector-1st-target-hit-still-going/</link>
	<description>Stock Trading, Investing &#38; Market Analysis</description>
	<lastBuildDate>Thu, 09 Mar 2023 21:29:12 +0000</lastBuildDate>
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		<title>
		By: rsotc		</title>
		<link>https://rightsideofthechart.com/xlf-financial-sector-1st-target-hit-still-going/#comment-26601</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[rsotc]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 09 Mar 2023 21:29:12 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://rightsideofthechart.com/?p=210802#comment-26601</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[In reply to &lt;a href=&quot;https://rightsideofthechart.com/xlf-financial-sector-1st-target-hit-still-going/#comment-26599&quot;&gt;KevinK&lt;/a&gt;.

Just to be clear &amp; more direct to your question, personally, I think the &lt;abbr class=&#039;c2c-text-hover&#039; title=&#039;Risk-to-Reward Ratio. e.g.- a 3:1 R/R would entail risking $1 of loss for every $3 of profit potential on the trade.&#039;&gt;R/R&lt;/abbr&gt; to go home short tonight &amp; into the jobs report is favorable.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>In reply to <a href="https://rightsideofthechart.com/xlf-financial-sector-1st-target-hit-still-going/#comment-26599">KevinK</a>.</p>
<p>Just to be clear &#038; more direct to your question, personally, I think the <abbr class='c2c-text-hover' title='Risk-to-Reward Ratio. e.g.- a 3:1 R/R would entail risking $1 of loss for every $3 of profit potential on the trade.'>R/R</abbr> to go home short tonight &#038; into the jobs report is favorable.</p>
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		<title>
		By: rsotc		</title>
		<link>https://rightsideofthechart.com/xlf-financial-sector-1st-target-hit-still-going/#comment-26600</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[rsotc]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 09 Mar 2023 21:27:09 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://rightsideofthechart.com/?p=210802#comment-26600</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[In reply to &lt;a href=&quot;https://rightsideofthechart.com/xlf-financial-sector-1st-target-hit-still-going/#comment-26599&quot;&gt;KevinK&lt;/a&gt;.

jobs report likely to spark a sharp move in either direction tomorrow but in a vacuum (technicals aside), I&#039;d say the risks are slightly skewed to the downside (bearish) from a fundamental perspective: Above-consensus jobs # would add to the hawkish fed case (bearish for equities) and below-consensus would be bearish for the economy as consumer spending accounts for over 2/3rd&#039;s of GDP.

Technically (charts), we have the $VIX exploding higher today following the recent bullish falling wedge breakout &#038; backtest plus successful test of the &lt;abbr class=&#039;c2c-text-hover&#039; title=&#039;An uptrend occurs when a security or index is making a series of higher highs &#038; higher lows.&#039;&gt;uptrend&lt;/abbr&gt; line (bullish for the $VIX, bearish for the stock market) plus many financials breaking down or continuing to break additional supports following the sell signals on XLF a month ago.

However, SPY closed right on another test of the primary &lt;abbr class=&#039;c2c-text-hover&#039; title=&#039;A downtrend occurs when a security or index is making a series of lower lows &#038; lower highs.&#039;&gt;downtrend&lt;/abbr&gt; line &#038; 200-day SMA today so today&#039;s lows need to be clearly taken out to solidify my bull-trap/failed breakout scenario on the broad market. Even if the market rallies tomorrow, it will still be within spitting distance of the key support it closed on today as we head into the close tomorrow &#038; that leave the potential for a big gap down &#038; possible meltdown next week so not sure how many bulls will feel comfortable going home long over the weekend.

Could go either way but I&#039;m leaning towards the bearish/down and down hard tomorrow and/or next week scenario as of now.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>In reply to <a href="https://rightsideofthechart.com/xlf-financial-sector-1st-target-hit-still-going/#comment-26599">KevinK</a>.</p>
<p>jobs report likely to spark a sharp move in either direction tomorrow but in a vacuum (technicals aside), I&#8217;d say the risks are slightly skewed to the downside (bearish) from a fundamental perspective: Above-consensus jobs # would add to the hawkish fed case (bearish for equities) and below-consensus would be bearish for the economy as consumer spending accounts for over 2/3rd&#8217;s of GDP.</p>
<p>Technically (charts), we have the $VIX exploding higher today following the recent bullish falling wedge breakout &amp; backtest plus successful test of the <abbr class='c2c-text-hover' title='An uptrend occurs when a security or index is making a series of higher highs &amp; higher lows.'>uptrend</abbr> line (bullish for the $VIX, bearish for the stock market) plus many financials breaking down or continuing to break additional supports following the sell signals on XLF a month ago.</p>
<p>However, SPY closed right on another test of the primary <abbr class='c2c-text-hover' title='A downtrend occurs when a security or index is making a series of lower lows &amp; lower highs.'>downtrend</abbr> line &amp; 200-day SMA today so today&#8217;s lows need to be clearly taken out to solidify my bull-trap/failed breakout scenario on the broad market. Even if the market rallies tomorrow, it will still be within spitting distance of the key support it closed on today as we head into the close tomorrow &amp; that leave the potential for a big gap down &amp; possible meltdown next week so not sure how many bulls will feel comfortable going home long over the weekend.</p>
<p>Could go either way but I&#8217;m leaning towards the bearish/down and down hard tomorrow and/or next week scenario as of now.</p>
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		<title>
		By: KevinK		</title>
		<link>https://rightsideofthechart.com/xlf-financial-sector-1st-target-hit-still-going/#comment-26599</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[KevinK]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 09 Mar 2023 20:20:46 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://rightsideofthechart.com/?p=210802#comment-26599</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Randy, 

Your thoughts on holding these short positions overnight ( concerning the jobs report tomorrow   at 8:30)]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Randy, </p>
<p>Your thoughts on holding these short positions overnight ( concerning the jobs report tomorrow   at 8:30)</p>
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		<title>
		By: jmccallum		</title>
		<link>https://rightsideofthechart.com/xlf-financial-sector-1st-target-hit-still-going/#comment-26597</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[jmccallum]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 09 Mar 2023 19:19:37 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://rightsideofthechart.com/?p=210802#comment-26597</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[FWIW, JMTC, &lt;abbr class=&#039;c2c-text-hover&#039; title=&#039;Do Your Own Due Diligence&#039;&gt;DYODD&lt;/abbr&gt;... i wouldn&#039;t get to bearish on the market here.  The 10 day weighted average equity put call ratio is where it was at the bottoms in late June 2022 and first part of October 2022.  But it&#039;s just one indicator]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>FWIW, JMTC, <abbr class='c2c-text-hover' title='Do Your Own Due Diligence'>DYODD</abbr>&#8230; i wouldn&#8217;t get to bearish on the market here.  The 10 day weighted average equity put call ratio is where it was at the bottoms in late June 2022 and first part of October 2022.  But it&#8217;s just one indicator</p>
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		<title>
		By: rsotc		</title>
		<link>https://rightsideofthechart.com/xlf-financial-sector-1st-target-hit-still-going/#comment-26596</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[rsotc]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 09 Mar 2023 19:17:36 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://rightsideofthechart.com/?p=210802#comment-26596</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[In reply to &lt;a href=&quot;https://rightsideofthechart.com/xlf-financial-sector-1st-target-hit-still-going/#comment-26594&quot;&gt;becky&lt;/a&gt;.

Yes, I mentioned XLF as one of my favorite shorts here on Feb 10th:https://youtu.be/n9EX0KpVqu0?t=1336

..and followed up with the chart that I posted above here: https://rightsideofthechart.com/market-analysis-trade-ideas-2-10-23/#comment-26338]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>In reply to <a href="https://rightsideofthechart.com/xlf-financial-sector-1st-target-hit-still-going/#comment-26594">becky</a>.</p>
<p>Yes, I mentioned XLF as one of my favorite shorts here on Feb 10th:<a href="https://youtu.be/n9EX0KpVqu0?t=1336" rel="nofollow ugc">https://youtu.be/n9EX0KpVqu0?t=1336</a></p>
<p>..and followed up with the chart that I posted above here: <a href="https://rightsideofthechart.com/market-analysis-trade-ideas-2-10-23/#comment-26338" rel="ugc">https://rightsideofthechart.com/market-analysis-trade-ideas-2-10-23/#comment-26338</a></p>
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		<title>
		By: becky		</title>
		<link>https://rightsideofthechart.com/xlf-financial-sector-1st-target-hit-still-going/#comment-26594</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[becky]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 09 Mar 2023 19:09:52 +0000</pubDate>
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					<description><![CDATA[Was there a trade? I don&#039;t remember.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Was there a trade? I don&#8217;t remember.</p>
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		<title>
		By: jmccallum		</title>
		<link>https://rightsideofthechart.com/xlf-financial-sector-1st-target-hit-still-going/#comment-26591</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[jmccallum]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 09 Mar 2023 18:59:53 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://rightsideofthechart.com/?p=210802#comment-26591</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Nice work Randy!]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Nice work Randy!</p>
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