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	Comments on: Weekly Stock Market Wrap 10-12-18	</title>
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	<description>Stock Trading, Investing &#38; Market Analysis</description>
	<lastBuildDate>Sat, 13 Oct 2018 22:48:31 +0000</lastBuildDate>
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		By: rsotc		</title>
		<link>https://rightsideofthechart.com/weekly-stock-market-wrap-10-12-18/#comment-4980</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[rsotc]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 13 Oct 2018 22:48:31 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://rightsideofthechart.com/?p=188373#comment-4980</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[In reply to &lt;a href=&quot;https://rightsideofthechart.com/weekly-stock-market-wrap-10-12-18/#comment-4979&quot;&gt;jbro61&lt;/a&gt;.

First of all, you don&#039;t want to hold leveraged ETFs for any extended period of time, especially the 3x&#039;s. The large-cap index 3x ETFs aren&#039;t as bad as most sector 3x ETF as far as the decay &amp; it&#039;s even possible that SQQQ could outperform, given the right market conditions (a pretty persistent &amp; steady &lt;abbr class=&#039;c2c-text-hover&#039; title=&#039;A downtrend occurs when a security or index is making a series of lower lows &#038; lower highs.&#039;&gt;downtrend&lt;/abbr&gt;) but very choppy or extended sideways market could cause SQQQ to return less than 3x the drop of QQQ. See the &quot;Is there a disadvantage to holding a leveraged ETF for an extended period of time&quot; under the ETF sub-section of the FAQ page (accessible on the main menu bar at the top of the site).

As far a tucking away a short on QQQ for the next 2+ years, maybe. However, keep in mind that we still have the major stock indexes at or above some of the long-term trendlines &amp; key moving averages. Additionally, most long-term trend indicators are still bullish despite the short-term trend (and almost the intermediate-term trend) flipping to bearish.

One option would be to start scaling into a QQQ short (or PSQ, a non-leveraged, short QQQ ETF and QID 2x short is another option), buying in fractional lots over the next few months or even better, adding strategically (e.g.- on support breaks or rallies back to resistance).

You would also want to remain flexible on that trading plan &amp; identify where you will stop out if this market has a lot more upside left in the coming months+ as anything is possible. Other than that, I have to say that if I were forced to either go long or short QQQ for the next 2 years &amp; throw away the key, I&#039;d rather be short but again, never get married to a trade &amp; always use stops.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>In reply to <a href="https://rightsideofthechart.com/weekly-stock-market-wrap-10-12-18/#comment-4979">jbro61</a>.</p>
<p>First of all, you don&#8217;t want to hold leveraged ETFs for any extended period of time, especially the 3x&#8217;s. The large-cap index 3x ETFs aren&#8217;t as bad as most sector 3x ETF as far as the decay &#038; it&#8217;s even possible that SQQQ could outperform, given the right market conditions (a pretty persistent &#038; steady <abbr class='c2c-text-hover' title='A downtrend occurs when a security or index is making a series of lower lows &amp; lower highs.'>downtrend</abbr>) but very choppy or extended sideways market could cause SQQQ to return less than 3x the drop of QQQ. See the &#8220;Is there a disadvantage to holding a leveraged ETF for an extended period of time&#8221; under the ETF sub-section of the FAQ page (accessible on the main menu bar at the top of the site).</p>
<p>As far a tucking away a short on QQQ for the next 2+ years, maybe. However, keep in mind that we still have the major stock indexes at or above some of the long-term trendlines &#038; key moving averages. Additionally, most long-term trend indicators are still bullish despite the short-term trend (and almost the intermediate-term trend) flipping to bearish.</p>
<p>One option would be to start scaling into a QQQ short (or PSQ, a non-leveraged, short QQQ ETF and QID 2x short is another option), buying in fractional lots over the next few months or even better, adding strategically (e.g.- on support breaks or rallies back to resistance).</p>
<p>You would also want to remain flexible on that trading plan &#038; identify where you will stop out if this market has a lot more upside left in the coming months+ as anything is possible. Other than that, I have to say that if I were forced to either go long or short QQQ for the next 2 years &#038; throw away the key, I&#8217;d rather be short but again, never get married to a trade &#038; always use stops.</p>
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		<title>
		By: jbro61		</title>
		<link>https://rightsideofthechart.com/weekly-stock-market-wrap-10-12-18/#comment-4979</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[jbro61]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 13 Oct 2018 14:12:56 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://rightsideofthechart.com/?p=188373#comment-4979</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Randy....thoughts on a inverse Nasdaq 100 long term hold? I&#039;m thinking about something way outside the deviation (say SQQQ $22 at &lt;$3 hold until 2021). Any thoughts to this longer term strategy? Considering the price is way outside of the current standard deviation anyways...think it might hold it&#039;s price even on a march up...so you really are paying for the duration.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Randy&#8230;.thoughts on a inverse Nasdaq 100 long term hold? I&#8217;m thinking about something way outside the deviation (say SQQQ $22 at <$3 hold until 2021). Any thoughts to this longer term strategy? Considering the price is way outside of the current standard deviation anyways...think it might hold it's price even on a march up...so you really are paying for the duration.
</p>
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