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	Comments on: The Trump Pump &#038; Dump	</title>
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		By: rsotc		</title>
		<link>https://rightsideofthechart.com/the-trump-pump-dump/#comment-2881</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[rsotc]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 14 Nov 2016 18:02:48 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://rightsideofthechart.com/?p=173754#comment-2881</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[In reply to &lt;a href=&quot;https://rightsideofthechart.com/the-trump-pump-dump/#comment-2880&quot;&gt;stalwar&lt;/a&gt;.

As good points &#038; only time will tell if the recent rally was an over-&lt;abbr class=&#039;c2c-text-hover&#039; title=&#039;1) A bounce/pullback off support/resistance and/or a temporary consolidation around that level following a well-established trend leading up to that point. 2) A reaction low or high is a distinct point where the price of a security changed direction.&#039;&gt;reaction&lt;/abbr&gt; or even completely unfounded. PBM&#039;s have been killing the big phrama co&#039;s &#038; might continue to do so although I suspect that pendulum is due to swing back around soon.

Regarding the biotechs, despite the persistent rhetoric in recent years how bad Obamacare was/is going to be to them, as I highlighted in this video last week: http://rightsideofthechart.com/biotechs-rally-likely-to-be-faded/  , whatever underlying dynamics played into it, the biotech embarked on their strongest bull market run in history right around the time the ACA was signed into law back in March 2010, advancing nearly 400% over the next 5+ years with hardly a hiccup. By that logic, one could conclude that a partial or full repeal of Obamacare could actually be detrimental to the biotechs going forward. 
Again, maybe an overly simplistic take with other factors that played into that mega-bull in the biotechs after the passing of the ACA but I also focus on the point where you said &quot;....at least until we understand what Trump might have up his sleeve..&quot; which helps illustrate that this rally was not based on any solid underpinnings or definitely changes in the fundamentals for the sector, rather what might be a possible best-case scenario. Weekly charts of XBI &#038; IBB still put both in a primary &lt;abbr class=&#039;c2c-text-hover&#039; title=&#039;A downtrend occurs when a security or index is making a series of lower lows &#038; lower highs.&#039;&gt;downtrend&lt;/abbr&gt; (bear market) by most metrics at this time with a decent possibility that they are in the final stages of a bear market rally that started earlier this year, only reaching the run-of-the-mill 38.2% (IBB) and 50% (XBI) Fibonacci retracement levels of the initial leg down.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>In reply to <a href="https://rightsideofthechart.com/the-trump-pump-dump/#comment-2880">stalwar</a>.</p>
<p>As good points &amp; only time will tell if the recent rally was an over-<abbr class='c2c-text-hover' title='1) A bounce/pullback off support/resistance and/or a temporary consolidation around that level following a well-established trend leading up to that point. 2) A reaction low or high is a distinct point where the price of a security changed direction.'>reaction</abbr> or even completely unfounded. PBM&#8217;s have been killing the big phrama co&#8217;s &amp; might continue to do so although I suspect that pendulum is due to swing back around soon.</p>
<p>Regarding the biotechs, despite the persistent rhetoric in recent years how bad Obamacare was/is going to be to them, as I highlighted in this video last week: <a href="http://rightsideofthechart.com/biotechs-rally-likely-to-be-faded/" rel="ugc">http://rightsideofthechart.com/biotechs-rally-likely-to-be-faded/</a>  , whatever underlying dynamics played into it, the biotech embarked on their strongest bull market run in history right around the time the ACA was signed into law back in March 2010, advancing nearly 400% over the next 5+ years with hardly a hiccup. By that logic, one could conclude that a partial or full repeal of Obamacare could actually be detrimental to the biotechs going forward.<br />
Again, maybe an overly simplistic take with other factors that played into that mega-bull in the biotechs after the passing of the ACA but I also focus on the point where you said &#8220;&#8230;.at least until we understand what Trump might have up his sleeve..&#8221; which helps illustrate that this rally was not based on any solid underpinnings or definitely changes in the fundamentals for the sector, rather what might be a possible best-case scenario. Weekly charts of XBI &amp; IBB still put both in a primary <abbr class='c2c-text-hover' title='A downtrend occurs when a security or index is making a series of lower lows &amp; lower highs.'>downtrend</abbr> (bear market) by most metrics at this time with a decent possibility that they are in the final stages of a bear market rally that started earlier this year, only reaching the run-of-the-mill 38.2% (IBB) and 50% (XBI) Fibonacci retracement levels of the initial leg down.</p>
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		<title>
		By: stalwar		</title>
		<link>https://rightsideofthechart.com/the-trump-pump-dump/#comment-2880</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[stalwar]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 14 Nov 2016 16:21:04 +0000</pubDate>
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					<description><![CDATA[So far as biotech goes there was a clear and widely anticipated &#039;fundamental&#039; rationale for the dramatic move up: political risk to biopharma pricing power is significantly reduced. The sector took a major dive after Clinton&#039;s tweet about price gouging, and continued through serial exposures of egregious price increases by various actors. Generalist institutional investors had pretty much all vanished from the sector from the political risk in the event of a Clinton win. Institutional investors are now seeking to return (or at least debating). This is not to say that other major threats (e.g., those from PBMs and Payors) don&#039;t remain and will perhaps even intensify, but uncertainty and sentiment have lifted massively, at least until we understand what Trump might have up his sleeve (e.g., Medicare price negotiation) - but by and large the GOP seen as more leaving biopharma pricing to market forces.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>So far as biotech goes there was a clear and widely anticipated &#8216;fundamental&#8217; rationale for the dramatic move up: political risk to biopharma pricing power is significantly reduced. The sector took a major dive after Clinton&#8217;s tweet about price gouging, and continued through serial exposures of egregious price increases by various actors. Generalist institutional investors had pretty much all vanished from the sector from the political risk in the event of a Clinton win. Institutional investors are now seeking to return (or at least debating). This is not to say that other major threats (e.g., those from PBMs and Payors) don&#8217;t remain and will perhaps even intensify, but uncertainty and sentiment have lifted massively, at least until we understand what Trump might have up his sleeve (e.g., Medicare price negotiation) &#8211; but by and large the GOP seen as more leaving biopharma pricing to market forces.</p>
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		<title>
		By: joefriday		</title>
		<link>https://rightsideofthechart.com/the-trump-pump-dump/#comment-2878</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[joefriday]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 14 Nov 2016 14:42:43 +0000</pubDate>
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					<description><![CDATA[Agree 100%.. this is a pump and dump...flush coming]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Agree 100%.. this is a pump and dump&#8230;flush coming</p>
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		<title>
		By: sportofkings		</title>
		<link>https://rightsideofthechart.com/the-trump-pump-dump/#comment-2877</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[sportofkings]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 14 Nov 2016 14:40:49 +0000</pubDate>
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					<description><![CDATA[It looked to me like when the over night dump happened as Trump took the lead, it reversed with the reality that the house and senate were both going to go to the Republicans. Lots of fiscal stimulus pushing the Dollar and Yields up that ultimately could be a hurdle to the markets.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>It looked to me like when the over night dump happened as Trump took the lead, it reversed with the reality that the house and senate were both going to go to the Republicans. Lots of fiscal stimulus pushing the Dollar and Yields up that ultimately could be a hurdle to the markets.</p>
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