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	Comments on: Swing Trade Ideas &#038; Market Analysis 10-29-19	</title>
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	<link>https://rightsideofthechart.com/swing-trade-ideas-market-analysis-10-29-19-2/</link>
	<description>Stock Trading, Investing &#38; Market Analysis</description>
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		<title>
		By: Stargazer		</title>
		<link>https://rightsideofthechart.com/swing-trade-ideas-market-analysis-10-29-19-2/#comment-13252</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Stargazer]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 14 Nov 2019 15:41:36 +0000</pubDate>
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					<description><![CDATA[watching hour on gbtc..potential divergence coming..heads up]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>watching hour on gbtc..potential divergence coming..heads up</p>
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		<title>
		By: Dean Drummond		</title>
		<link>https://rightsideofthechart.com/swing-trade-ideas-market-analysis-10-29-19-2/#comment-13251</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Dean Drummond]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 30 Oct 2019 05:53:13 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://rightsideofthechart.com/?p=193969#comment-13251</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[In reply to &lt;a href=&quot;https://rightsideofthechart.com/swing-trade-ideas-market-analysis-10-29-19-2/#comment-13249&quot;&gt;Dean Drummond&lt;/a&gt;.

Great insightful comments - thanks Randy. FWIW out this morning... &quot;APPLE&#039;S IPHONE SALES IN CHINA DROP 28% TO 5.1 MLN UNITS IN Q3, LOWEST IN 5 YEARS&quot;]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>In reply to <a href="https://rightsideofthechart.com/swing-trade-ideas-market-analysis-10-29-19-2/#comment-13249">Dean Drummond</a>.</p>
<p>Great insightful comments &#8211; thanks Randy. FWIW out this morning&#8230; &#8220;APPLE&#8217;S IPHONE SALES IN CHINA DROP 28% TO 5.1 MLN UNITS IN Q3, LOWEST IN 5 YEARS&#8221;</p>
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		<title>
		By: Dean Drummond		</title>
		<link>https://rightsideofthechart.com/swing-trade-ideas-market-analysis-10-29-19-2/#comment-13250</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Dean Drummond]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 29 Oct 2019 21:03:14 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://rightsideofthechart.com/?p=193969#comment-13250</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[In reply to &lt;a href=&quot;https://rightsideofthechart.com/swing-trade-ideas-market-analysis-10-29-19-2/#comment-13248&quot;&gt;Dean Drummond&lt;/a&gt;.

I try not to read too much into the day to day disconnects between the performance of gold &amp; GDX, instead focusing on potential trading opportunities when one has significantly outperformed or underperformed the other relative to their usual price/performance differentials (e.g.- I&#039;ll watch the GLD:GDX ratio for extremes. Longer-term, GDX will follow gold, period, with periods of brief disconnects from time to time.
As far as today, the bounce in GDX appears technically based as GDX bounce off the top of the 60-minute bullish falling wedge that I had just recently highlighted it breaking out above. (below)]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>In reply to <a href="https://rightsideofthechart.com/swing-trade-ideas-market-analysis-10-29-19-2/#comment-13248">Dean Drummond</a>.</p>
<p>I try not to read too much into the day to day disconnects between the performance of gold &#038; GDX, instead focusing on potential trading opportunities when one has significantly outperformed or underperformed the other relative to their usual price/performance differentials (e.g.- I&#8217;ll watch the GLD:GDX ratio for extremes. Longer-term, GDX will follow gold, period, with periods of brief disconnects from time to time.<br />
As far as today, the bounce in GDX appears technically based as GDX bounce off the top of the 60-minute bullish falling wedge that I had just recently highlighted it breaking out above. (below)</p>
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		<item>
		<title>
		By: Dean Drummond		</title>
		<link>https://rightsideofthechart.com/swing-trade-ideas-market-analysis-10-29-19-2/#comment-13249</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Dean Drummond]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 29 Oct 2019 18:06:39 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://rightsideofthechart.com/?p=193969#comment-13249</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[In reply to &lt;a href=&quot;https://rightsideofthechart.com/swing-trade-ideas-market-analysis-10-29-19-2/#comment-13247&quot;&gt;Dean Drummond&lt;/a&gt;.

Sounds quite logical &amp; likely. Just as it was leading up to the market top in Oct 2007 when the previous bull market ended, we&#039;re seeing the same dynamic where fewer &amp; fewer mega-cap, beloved tech stocks (largely the FAAMGs) are doing most of the heavy lifting.
The S&amp;P 500 is comprised of 11 sectors although the tech sector, accounts for the bulk of the gains as it has the highest weighting in the index by a wide margin. Here&#039;s a breakout of when each of those 11 sectors topped (all-time highs) as the S&amp;P 500 is trading at an all-time high (a la technology stocks):
XLV (healthcare): Oct 2018
XLRE (REITs/real-estate): Oct 22, 2019 (near ATH&#039;s now but an insignificant, defensive sector at only a ~3% weighting)
XLF (financials): Jan 2018
XLI (industrials): Jan 2018
XLE (energy): June 2014 (over 5 years ago)
XLY (consumer discretionary): July 2019
XLK (technology- aka &quot;the stock market&quot;): currently at ATH&#039;s
XLB (basic materials): Jan 2018
XLU (utilities): Sept 2019 (the only other insignificant index beside REITs at a tiny ~3% weighting, also a defensive sector)
XLP (consumer staples): Sept 2019 (also a defensive sector)
XLC (communications): Jan 2018
That pretty much points to a top in Jan 2018 if you were to strip away the top-heavy weighting of the tech sector. It doesn&#039;t bode well that industrials, financials, energy, basic materials &amp; communication all topped back in Jan 2018 or earlier but hey, the market continues to party like it&#039;s 1999 (and we all know what happened once the party ended)]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>In reply to <a href="https://rightsideofthechart.com/swing-trade-ideas-market-analysis-10-29-19-2/#comment-13247">Dean Drummond</a>.</p>
<p>Sounds quite logical &#038; likely. Just as it was leading up to the market top in Oct 2007 when the previous bull market ended, we&#8217;re seeing the same dynamic where fewer &#038; fewer mega-cap, beloved tech stocks (largely the FAAMGs) are doing most of the heavy lifting.<br />
The S&#038;P 500 is comprised of 11 sectors although the tech sector, accounts for the bulk of the gains as it has the highest weighting in the index by a wide margin. Here&#8217;s a breakout of when each of those 11 sectors topped (all-time highs) as the S&#038;P 500 is trading at an all-time high (a la technology stocks):<br />
XLV (healthcare): Oct 2018<br />
XLRE (REITs/real-estate): Oct 22, 2019 (near ATH&#8217;s now but an insignificant, defensive sector at only a ~3% weighting)<br />
XLF (financials): Jan 2018<br />
XLI (industrials): Jan 2018<br />
XLE (energy): June 2014 (over 5 years ago)<br />
XLY (consumer discretionary): July 2019<br />
XLK (technology- aka &#8220;the stock market&#8221;): currently at ATH&#8217;s<br />
XLB (basic materials): Jan 2018<br />
XLU (utilities): Sept 2019 (the only other insignificant index beside REITs at a tiny ~3% weighting, also a defensive sector)<br />
XLP (consumer staples): Sept 2019 (also a defensive sector)<br />
XLC (communications): Jan 2018<br />
That pretty much points to a top in Jan 2018 if you were to strip away the top-heavy weighting of the tech sector. It doesn&#8217;t bode well that industrials, financials, energy, basic materials &#038; communication all topped back in Jan 2018 or earlier but hey, the market continues to party like it&#8217;s 1999 (and we all know what happened once the party ended)</p>
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		<item>
		<title>
		By: Dean Drummond		</title>
		<link>https://rightsideofthechart.com/swing-trade-ideas-market-analysis-10-29-19-2/#comment-13248</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Dean Drummond]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 29 Oct 2019 17:22:34 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://rightsideofthechart.com/?p=193969#comment-13248</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Seems interesting with gold down 0.25% the Gold miner ETFs are leading, where predominantly before this the price of gold lead with the miners reluctant to follow suit. Presumably, if we get leadership from the miners they may hint at a stronger move higher for gold?]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Seems interesting with gold down 0.25% the Gold miner ETFs are leading, where predominantly before this the price of gold lead with the miners reluctant to follow suit. Presumably, if we get leadership from the miners they may hint at a stronger move higher for gold?</p>
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			</item>
		<item>
		<title>
		By: Dean Drummond		</title>
		<link>https://rightsideofthechart.com/swing-trade-ideas-market-analysis-10-29-19-2/#comment-13247</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Dean Drummond]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 29 Oct 2019 16:42:25 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://rightsideofthechart.com/?p=193969#comment-13247</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[I noticed this in a number of stock too. Shell and BP also put in nearer term tops in 2018 and have been putting in lower highs ever since. In hindsight I believe the real recession may be proven to have begun in 2018, while the tax cuts, rate cuts and Not &lt;abbr class=&#039;c2c-text-hover&#039; title=&#039;Quantitative easing (QE) is a type of monetary policy used by central banks to stimulate the economy when standard monetary policy has become ineffective.&#039;&gt;QE&lt;/abbr&gt; have kept buy backs and Tech at highs on weaker earnings.
Will be interesting to see Apple earnings (+75% since 31st Dec &#039;18.)]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I noticed this in a number of stock too. Shell and BP also put in nearer term tops in 2018 and have been putting in lower highs ever since. In hindsight I believe the real recession may be proven to have begun in 2018, while the tax cuts, rate cuts and Not <abbr class='c2c-text-hover' title='Quantitative easing (QE) is a type of monetary policy used by central banks to stimulate the economy when standard monetary policy has become ineffective.'>QE</abbr> have kept buy backs and Tech at highs on weaker earnings.<br />
Will be interesting to see Apple earnings (+75% since 31st Dec &#8217;18.)</p>
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