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	Comments on: Swing Trade Ideas 8-13-26	</title>
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	<description>Swing trading ideas, technical analysis, and market commentary for active traders and investors.</description>
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		<title>
		By: SPYderman		</title>
		<link>https://rightsideofthechart.com/swing-trade-ideas-8-13-26/#comment-39683</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[SPYderman]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 14 Aug 2026 14:22:22 +0000</pubDate>
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			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>In reply to <a href="https://rightsideofthechart.com/swing-trade-ideas-8-13-26/#comment-39680">Jap0744</a>.</p>
<p>Same here! I&#8217;ve personally been chilling in some of the package foods stocks that were previously highlighted&#8230; CAG KHC CPB GIS FLO. I also hold JAAA as &#8220;cash&#8221; that pays about 5% (so I typically try to find stocks that pay a higher dividend than that). CAG reduced it&#8217;s dividend so I&#8217;m looking to unload it.</p>
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		<title>
		By: rsotc		</title>
		<link>https://rightsideofthechart.com/swing-trade-ideas-8-13-26/#comment-39681</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[rsotc]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 14 Aug 2026 14:20:18 +0000</pubDate>
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			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>In reply to <a href="https://rightsideofthechart.com/swing-trade-ideas-8-13-26/#comment-39678">wmckenzie09</a>.</p>
<p>One of the key factors for 401(k) and long-term account positioning is what I&#8217;ve shared here many times in the past, often referring to it as my &#8220;401(k) Indicator&#8221;. On a scale of 1-10 as far as trend indicators go, I give it a &#8220;10&#8221; for both the combined effectiveness/track record coupled with its simplicity.</p>
<p>Its the 20-period exponential moving average (20-<abbr class='c2c-text-hover' title='An exponential moving average (EMA) is a type of moving average that is similar to a simple moving average, except that more weight is given to the latest data. This type of moving average reacts faster to recent price changes than a simple moving average. (source: investopedia.com)'>ema</abbr>) on the monthly chart of the S&#038;P 500: When the $SPX is trading above it, you want to be long equities (as far as how much, depending on individual factors such as one&#8217;s distance to, or currently in, retirement, risk-tolerance, etc.) and when the $SPX is below it, you want to be out of all equities (either in cash/MMF/stable fund option and or bonds, if the charts confirm, commodities or other alternative assets, if the plan offers, etc.)</p>
<p>Here&#8217;s a long-term chart of the S&#038;P 500 showing the track record. VERY IMPORTANT: As this indicator is based on a monthly time frame, only the monthly candlesticks, when printed on the last day of the month, matter. That avoids whipsaws from the fairly common intra-month swings.</p>
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		<title>
		By: Jap0744		</title>
		<link>https://rightsideofthechart.com/swing-trade-ideas-8-13-26/#comment-39680</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Jap0744]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 14 Aug 2026 13:23:09 +0000</pubDate>
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			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>In reply to <a href="https://rightsideofthechart.com/swing-trade-ideas-8-13-26/#comment-39678">wmckenzie09</a>.</p>
<p>Looking forward to this response.</p>
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		<title>
		By: wmckenzie09		</title>
		<link>https://rightsideofthechart.com/swing-trade-ideas-8-13-26/#comment-39678</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[wmckenzie09]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 13 Aug 2026 20:06:29 +0000</pubDate>
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			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Hi Randy, wonder how you position or recomend positioning in 401k vehicles. Especially with this large looming bear market around the corner, do you remain mostly in large caps until one of your long term bear predictor charts rolls over, or are you currently more allocated in bonds or stable funds for buy the dip oppretunity? Thanks</p>
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		<title>
		By: rsotc		</title>
		<link>https://rightsideofthechart.com/swing-trade-ideas-8-13-26/#comment-39676</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[rsotc]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 13 Aug 2026 18:13:18 +0000</pubDate>
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			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>As noted in the video summary above, the trade setups on the various specialty/mortgage lender stocks are highly contingent on a meaningful drop in 10-30 yr Treasury yields &#038; mortgage rates (which typically follow). If interested in any of those potential trade ideas, make sure to watch the coverage of both those stocks and Treasury bonds &#038; yields in the video above.</p>
<p>In a nutshell, should the recent breakout to new multi-year &#038; multi-decade highs in Treasury yields stick, with rates continuing much higher, that will most likely be a net headwind for the specialty/mortgage lenders, foiling any breakout and/or the current bullish technical posture. That goes the other way as well; as such, those stocks will remain on my radar as potential longs at this time.</p>
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