<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?><rss version="2.0"
	xmlns:content="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/content/"
	xmlns:dc="http://purl.org/dc/elements/1.1/"
	xmlns:atom="http://www.w3.org/2005/Atom"
	xmlns:sy="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/syndication/"
	
	>
<channel>
	<title>
	Comments on: Semiconductor Sector Analysis (part 1)- video	</title>
	<atom:link href="https://rightsideofthechart.com/semiconductor-sector-analysis-part-1/feed/" rel="self" type="application/rss+xml" />
	<link>https://rightsideofthechart.com/semiconductor-sector-analysis-part-1/</link>
	<description>Stock Trading, Investing &#38; Market Analysis</description>
	<lastBuildDate>Sat, 16 Feb 2019 15:39:15 +0000</lastBuildDate>
	<sy:updatePeriod>
	hourly	</sy:updatePeriod>
	<sy:updateFrequency>
	1	</sy:updateFrequency>
	<generator>https://wordpress.org/?v=6.9.4</generator>
	<item>
		<title>
		By: Heinz1		</title>
		<link>https://rightsideofthechart.com/semiconductor-sector-analysis-part-1/#comment-4468</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Heinz1]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 28 Apr 2018 04:07:22 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://rightsideofthechart.com/?p=186876#comment-4468</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[I&#039;m not an EW trader, but from what I understand, they would have us in at the tail end of a corrective 4th wave and looking for a strong 5th wave up to new highs to the 3k area of the S&amp;P by the end of the year or early part of 19. A decisive move either below the Feb. lows or 2400 would invalidate this wave count.  This primary EW wave count (4-&gt;5) is very much at odds with the way the Semis are looking.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I&#8217;m not an EW trader, but from what I understand, they would have us in at the tail end of a corrective 4th wave and looking for a strong 5th wave up to new highs to the 3k area of the S&#038;P by the end of the year or early part of 19. A decisive move either below the Feb. lows or 2400 would invalidate this wave count.  This primary EW wave count (4->5) is very much at odds with the way the Semis are looking.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
		
			</item>
		<item>
		<title>
		By: sur non		</title>
		<link>https://rightsideofthechart.com/semiconductor-sector-analysis-part-1/#comment-4467</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[sur non]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 28 Apr 2018 02:29:30 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://rightsideofthechart.com/?p=186876#comment-4467</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[In reply to &lt;a href=&quot;https://rightsideofthechart.com/semiconductor-sector-analysis-part-1/#comment-4463&quot;&gt;rsotc&lt;/a&gt;.

Randy - Thank you for your generous response.  : &gt; )]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>In reply to <a href="https://rightsideofthechart.com/semiconductor-sector-analysis-part-1/#comment-4463">rsotc</a>.</p>
<p>Randy &#8211; Thank you for your generous response.  : > )</p>
]]></content:encoded>
		
			</item>
		<item>
		<title>
		By: sur non		</title>
		<link>https://rightsideofthechart.com/semiconductor-sector-analysis-part-1/#comment-4466</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[sur non]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 28 Apr 2018 02:28:32 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://rightsideofthechart.com/?p=186876#comment-4466</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[In reply to &lt;a href=&quot;https://rightsideofthechart.com/semiconductor-sector-analysis-part-1/#comment-4464&quot;&gt;rsotc&lt;/a&gt;.

I was looking at it back then.  funny.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>In reply to <a href="https://rightsideofthechart.com/semiconductor-sector-analysis-part-1/#comment-4464">rsotc</a>.</p>
<p>I was looking at it back then.  funny.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
		
			</item>
		<item>
		<title>
		By: rsotc		</title>
		<link>https://rightsideofthechart.com/semiconductor-sector-analysis-part-1/#comment-4464</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[rsotc]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 27 Apr 2018 21:14:21 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://rightsideofthechart.com/?p=186876#comment-4464</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[In reply to &lt;a href=&quot;https://rightsideofthechart.com/semiconductor-sector-analysis-part-1/#comment-4462&quot;&gt;sur non&lt;/a&gt;.

Wow, what a setup on SGRY although I really wish you would have asked me about it on April 9th ;-)

All kidding aside, that was the most objective time to short SGRY as the stock had just backfilled a massive gap (i.e.- top of that gap is/was solid resistance) with negative divergences and coming off overbought levels following an overextended rally of 157% in just over 5 months.

As the stock has already dropped 15% since that kissing the top of that gap just 18 days (14 trading sessions) ago, the odds for an oversold bounce start to increase sharply with every tick lower, especially with positive divergence about to be confirmed on the 60-min chart with any upside in the stock next week.

As such, maybe look to short a bounce back to the 16.75ish resistance level or only short a partial position here if you think it is heading much lower before a meaningful bounce. This daily chart has 3 potential price targets with the 13.70-14.00 area being my first (I would set my &lt;abbr class=&#039;c2c-text-hover&#039; title=&#039;Buy-To-Cover; an order to close out a short position&#039;&gt;BTC&lt;/abbr&gt; limit order around 14.05-14.08 if I were short). G-luck if you take it.

&lt;!-- copy and paste. Modify height and width if desired. --&gt; &lt;a href=&quot;https://content.screencast.com/users/RightSideOfTheChart/folders/Snagit/media/0934f6bd-052a-4d1a-9480-c1355b0196ed/SGRY%20daily%20April%2027th.png&quot;&gt;&lt;img class=&quot;embeddedObject&quot; src=&quot;https://content.screencast.com/users/RightSideOfTheChart/folders/Snagit/media/0934f6bd-052a-4d1a-9480-c1355b0196ed/SGRY%20daily%20April%2027th.png&quot; width=&quot;1641&quot; height=&quot;983&quot; border=&quot;0&quot; /&gt;&lt;/a&gt;]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>In reply to <a href="https://rightsideofthechart.com/semiconductor-sector-analysis-part-1/#comment-4462">sur non</a>.</p>
<p>Wow, what a setup on SGRY although I really wish you would have asked me about it on April 9th ;-)</p>
<p>All kidding aside, that was the most objective time to short SGRY as the stock had just backfilled a massive gap (i.e.- top of that gap is/was solid resistance) with negative divergences and coming off overbought levels following an overextended rally of 157% in just over 5 months.</p>
<p>As the stock has already dropped 15% since that kissing the top of that gap just 18 days (14 trading sessions) ago, the odds for an oversold bounce start to increase sharply with every tick lower, especially with positive divergence about to be confirmed on the 60-min chart with any upside in the stock next week.</p>
<p>As such, maybe look to short a bounce back to the 16.75ish resistance level or only short a partial position here if you think it is heading much lower before a meaningful bounce. This daily chart has 3 potential price targets with the 13.70-14.00 area being my first (I would set my <abbr class='c2c-text-hover' title='Buy-To-Cover; an order to close out a short position'>BTC</abbr> limit order around 14.05-14.08 if I were short). G-luck if you take it.</p>
<p><!-- copy and paste. Modify height and width if desired. --> <a href="https://content.screencast.com/users/RightSideOfTheChart/folders/Snagit/media/0934f6bd-052a-4d1a-9480-c1355b0196ed/SGRY%20daily%20April%2027th.png"><img class="embeddedObject" src="https://content.screencast.com/users/RightSideOfTheChart/folders/Snagit/media/0934f6bd-052a-4d1a-9480-c1355b0196ed/SGRY%20daily%20April%2027th.png" width="1641" height="983" border="0" /></a></p>
]]></content:encoded>
		
			</item>
		<item>
		<title>
		By: rsotc		</title>
		<link>https://rightsideofthechart.com/semiconductor-sector-analysis-part-1/#comment-4463</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[rsotc]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 27 Apr 2018 20:52:14 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://rightsideofthechart.com/?p=186876#comment-4463</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Great question. The answer, assuming the market has already put in a significant top this year with considerable more downside to come (still a big IF), would depend on where we are in the cycle of either a big correction with more downside to come or possibly the early stages of a new bear market. While I don&#039;t use Elliot Wave Theory (EWT) frequently in my analysis, there are some useful applications, such as anticipating or recognizing A-B-C corrective waves during a correction, even if only on a short, intermediate time frame, to help micro-manage your positions or refine the entries &#038; exits on your swing trades.

Even better, if &#038; when we finally start to see enough technical evidence that tells us there is a good chance that we are in the early stages of a new bear market, we might be able to identify a primary 5 wave count in the early stages in order to be on guard for a potential 3rd wave. I&#039;m far from proficient in EWT &#038; while the counts may be obscure &#038; quite often too subject to after-the-fact revisions &lt;abbr class=&#039;c2c-text-hover&#039; title=&#039;In My Opinion&#039;&gt;IMO&lt;/abbr&gt;, I do think it is worth keeping an eye out for what might be shaping up to be a new primary &lt;abbr class=&#039;c2c-text-hover&#039; title=&#039;A downtrend occurs when a security or index is making a series of lower lows &#038; lower highs.&#039;&gt;downtrend&lt;/abbr&gt; that might be forming the first wave or two of a primary 5 wave count as if the count does seem to fit well, you&#039;d be better off staying away from just about any longs***, even defensive stocks as wave 3 begins, as nearly everything with a ticker gets sold in that 3rd &#038; most powerful &#038; impulsive wave.

**By anything with a ticker, I am referring to stocks (equities), mainly those that are a component of any stock index such as SPY, QQQ, MDY, DIA, IWM etc..as the massive outflows from investors, exacerbated by margin calls with lead to force selling which then quickly spirals into a vicious cycle (more panic, more selling, etc..) causes the good stocks to get sold with the bad simply due to the fund redemptions &#038; money flows out of the ETFs, etc. I am not referring to commodities, gold, possibly treasury bonds &#038; other securities that have little to no correlation with the stock market. Here&#039;s a link with some basic info on EWT: http://stockcharts.com/school/doku.php?id=chart_school:market_analysis:elliott_wave_theory 


&lt;!-- copy and paste. Modify height and width if desired. --&gt; &lt;a href=&quot;https://content.screencast.com/users/RightSideOfTheChart/folders/Snagit/media/1b4b51ed-b334-48a7-b5ae-ff98faf12266/2007-2009%20bear%20market%20EW%20count.png&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;&lt;img class=&quot;embeddedObject&quot; src=&quot;https://content.screencast.com/users/RightSideOfTheChart/folders/Snagit/media/1b4b51ed-b334-48a7-b5ae-ff98faf12266/2007-2009%20bear%20market%20EW%20count.png&quot; width=&quot;1678&quot; height=&quot;953&quot; /&gt;&lt;/a&gt;


Maybe someone here that uses EW or frequents a site that does can share their thoughts on whether or not there are any clean counts off the 2018 highs right now &#038; if so, where we are at in the count. Back to your questions, until we have enough evidence to say that the primary trend has most likely shifted from bullish to bearish (i.e.- the bull market from 2009-?? is over) then you should be fine with picking the best looking long trade ideas as part of a diversified porfilio with both long &#038; short positions, stocks, bonds, commodities, previous metals, etc. (of course, strategically rebalancing or moving in &#038; out of those positions as the charts dictate).]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Great question. The answer, assuming the market has already put in a significant top this year with considerable more downside to come (still a big IF), would depend on where we are in the cycle of either a big correction with more downside to come or possibly the early stages of a new bear market. While I don&#8217;t use Elliot Wave Theory (EWT) frequently in my analysis, there are some useful applications, such as anticipating or recognizing A-B-C corrective waves during a correction, even if only on a short, intermediate time frame, to help micro-manage your positions or refine the entries &amp; exits on your swing trades.</p>
<p>Even better, if &amp; when we finally start to see enough technical evidence that tells us there is a good chance that we are in the early stages of a new bear market, we might be able to identify a primary 5 wave count in the early stages in order to be on guard for a potential 3rd wave. I&#8217;m far from proficient in EWT &amp; while the counts may be obscure &amp; quite often too subject to after-the-fact revisions <abbr class='c2c-text-hover' title='In My Opinion'>IMO</abbr>, I do think it is worth keeping an eye out for what might be shaping up to be a new primary <abbr class='c2c-text-hover' title='A downtrend occurs when a security or index is making a series of lower lows &amp; lower highs.'>downtrend</abbr> that might be forming the first wave or two of a primary 5 wave count as if the count does seem to fit well, you&#8217;d be better off staying away from just about any longs***, even defensive stocks as wave 3 begins, as nearly everything with a ticker gets sold in that 3rd &amp; most powerful &amp; impulsive wave.</p>
<p>**By anything with a ticker, I am referring to stocks (equities), mainly those that are a component of any stock index such as SPY, QQQ, MDY, DIA, IWM etc..as the massive outflows from investors, exacerbated by margin calls with lead to force selling which then quickly spirals into a vicious cycle (more panic, more selling, etc..) causes the good stocks to get sold with the bad simply due to the fund redemptions &amp; money flows out of the ETFs, etc. I am not referring to commodities, gold, possibly treasury bonds &amp; other securities that have little to no correlation with the stock market. Here&#8217;s a link with some basic info on EWT: <a href="http://stockcharts.com/school/doku.php?id=chart_school:market_analysis:elliott_wave_theory" rel="nofollow ugc">http://stockcharts.com/school/doku.php?id=chart_school:market_analysis:elliott_wave_theory</a> </p>
<p><!-- copy and paste. Modify height and width if desired. --> <a href="https://content.screencast.com/users/RightSideOfTheChart/folders/Snagit/media/1b4b51ed-b334-48a7-b5ae-ff98faf12266/2007-2009%20bear%20market%20EW%20count.png" rel="nofollow"><img class="embeddedObject" src="https://content.screencast.com/users/RightSideOfTheChart/folders/Snagit/media/1b4b51ed-b334-48a7-b5ae-ff98faf12266/2007-2009%20bear%20market%20EW%20count.png" width="1678" height="953" /></a></p>
<p>Maybe someone here that uses EW or frequents a site that does can share their thoughts on whether or not there are any clean counts off the 2018 highs right now &amp; if so, where we are at in the count. Back to your questions, until we have enough evidence to say that the primary trend has most likely shifted from bullish to bearish (i.e.- the bull market from 2009-?? is over) then you should be fine with picking the best looking long trade ideas as part of a diversified porfilio with both long &amp; short positions, stocks, bonds, commodities, previous metals, etc. (of course, strategically rebalancing or moving in &amp; out of those positions as the charts dictate).</p>
]]></content:encoded>
		
			</item>
		<item>
		<title>
		By: sur non		</title>
		<link>https://rightsideofthechart.com/semiconductor-sector-analysis-part-1/#comment-4462</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[sur non]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 27 Apr 2018 20:30:29 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://rightsideofthechart.com/?p=186876#comment-4462</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[reluctant to ask, knowing how busy you are but SGRY sure looks like an objective short here and I ask at this point in time because in this market, the headwinds seem to  favor anyone who is shorting anything, rather than going long in my humble opinion.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>reluctant to ask, knowing how busy you are but SGRY sure looks like an objective short here and I ask at this point in time because in this market, the headwinds seem to  favor anyone who is shorting anything, rather than going long in my humble opinion.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
		
			</item>
		<item>
		<title>
		By: sur non		</title>
		<link>https://rightsideofthechart.com/semiconductor-sector-analysis-part-1/#comment-4461</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[sur non]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 27 Apr 2018 20:10:56 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://rightsideofthechart.com/?p=186876#comment-4461</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Randy - you have been looking at this coming for quite some time and it appears to be playing out exactly as you said it would.  You were ahead of this shift by months!  My question is - how does this affect the rest of the market, specifically everything other than semis?  Does this change the direction of gravity, so to speak?  My take at this point (as an investor or swing trader rather than a short term trader) is that everything will be affected, e.g. Dominion (D) is looking like an objective long but with the whole market going into bear mode, it would be better to not take a long position in anything whatsoever, especially with the expectation of the SPY following the Q&#039;s into a correction or even into bear territory.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Randy &#8211; you have been looking at this coming for quite some time and it appears to be playing out exactly as you said it would.  You were ahead of this shift by months!  My question is &#8211; how does this affect the rest of the market, specifically everything other than semis?  Does this change the direction of gravity, so to speak?  My take at this point (as an investor or swing trader rather than a short term trader) is that everything will be affected, e.g. Dominion (D) is looking like an objective long but with the whole market going into bear mode, it would be better to not take a long position in anything whatsoever, especially with the expectation of the SPY following the Q&#8217;s into a correction or even into bear territory.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
		
			</item>
	</channel>
</rss>
