In the last month (from March 13 – April 13)
The SPY is up 7.5%
QQQ is up 10%

The lopsided side of the boat is the side with all the money in it.

One side of the boat is making money…the other side isn’t.

When the bears show up with volume and all major sectors at of the day, breaking daily pivots then I’ll pay attention. Bears havent proved squat this year. Im sure that will change but for now, rather look bull.

Yeah, I can’t recall the last time that bullishness was so extreme on the comments here. I just pointed out in a comment above that the broad market (S&P 500) has gained a whopping 1% over the past 2 weeks (from the 3/31 high), including today’s healthy rally. Adding to that, as my index shorts are focused on the Q’s, the $NDX is actually DOWN -0.8% since that YTD high on March 31st, even with today’s nearly 2% gain. Crazy as from the comments here lately, one would think the market has ripped 20%+ higher over the past couple of weeks.

As I like to say; While patience is a virtue in life, it is a must in trading. Additionally, if & when the technical posture of the market begins to change, so will my outlook but as of now, we’re still looking at one of the best swing short setups in many years IMO.

LOL… If the technicals change & tell me to flip swing positions to from short to long I will but that just isn’t the case, at least as of today’s close and my goodness, the broad market S&P 500) is up a whopping 1% over the past 2 weeks (3/31 high) as of today’s close (including today’s rally) but from the comments here, you think it would have been up 20%+

Yes, the negative divergence that was in place a couple of weeks ago on the GDX 60-min chart is still intact & has grown larger. I just did an update on gold & silver in a post-market video that is uploading now & should be published shortly. Awaiting bearish PPO crossovers on the daily charts of both GLD & EUR/USD to “confirm” the potential negative divergences on both.

You short when the VIX is low. You buy when the VIX is high. Volatility on every metric is crushed. Implied vol is lower than realized vol. Again, that’s when you short. I went in yesterday with the CPI gap-n-crap move. It will come down to bank earnings tomorrow and then will make decisions from there.

May play out to be similar, maybe not.

June 22: https://www.tradingview.com/x/2SruUKmI/
April 23: https://www.tradingview.com/x/jyZHFSoK/

…on the sidelines nonetheless.

Bank earnings

Short.

https://rightsideofthechart.com/wp-content/uploads/bpfb/2910_0-37400100-1681415468_8dsa8d8dsa8dsadsadaaaa.png

That’s the hope that I am favoring which is why I am holding SOXS!

I do agree that the monthly charts look like bear flags. Price targets align with where valuations should be by the end of all this too. That said, shorter-term here… There’s a case to be made that both SPX and NDX are bull flagging on the daily time frame. A lot is riding on bank earnings tomorrow morning.

Trying my best to be neutral/objective/patient. Not easy.

‘hidden’ QE someone referred to above. No, really.

yes agree, be dumb follow price. trying to be short this year has been such a waste of time.

be dumb like the bulls who are making money while the permabears
keep hoping and praying and just cant fig out why mkt wont drop..
sure pays to be dumb

as they go up everyday…

Banks should be fine. They just took all their losing bond positions and swapped them with the Fed.

http://tos.mx/npbd5Cb