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	Comments on: PALL Palladium Trade Setup &#038; Price Target	</title>
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	<description>Stock Trading, Investing &#38; Market Analysis</description>
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	<item>
		<title>
		By: Dean Drummond		</title>
		<link>https://rightsideofthechart.com/pall-palladium-trade-setup-price-target-2/#comment-13773</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Dean Drummond]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 20 Jan 2020 14:54:57 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://rightsideofthechart.com/?p=195396#comment-13773</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[In reply to &lt;a href=&quot;https://rightsideofthechart.com/pall-palladium-trade-setup-price-target-2/#comment-13770&quot;&gt;Dean Drummond&lt;/a&gt;.

PALL has started to go parabolic. As such, there isn&#039;t anyone &quot;clear&quot; or obvious trendline in which to trigger a high-probability short entry if/when taken out. As such, I will be on watch for any potential bearish reversal candlestick patterns. Here&#039;s a visual guide to various candlestick patterns: http://thepatternsite.com/CandleVisual.html
Top that occur after a parabolic advance following an extended &lt;abbr class=&#039;c2c-text-hover&#039; title=&#039;An uptrend occurs when a security or index is making a series of higher highs &#038; higher lows.&#039;&gt;uptrend&lt;/abbr&gt; quite often start off with a bang &amp; are hard to miss although there are some serious supply/demand imbalances going on with palladium so we&#039;ll just have to assess the charts as they develop &amp; be aware that whipsaw signals are always possible &amp; part of the game. The key is managing the position so if the next sell signal proves to be a false/whipsaw signal, we minimize our losses with a stop &amp; just wait patiently for the next setup if the trade doesn&#039;t pan out.
If the top in PALL comes anytime soon, I&#039;m looking for a drop of at least 26% from where it closed on Friday so assume a short entry came with the market resumes trading tomorrow (following the MLK holiday closure today), a 6% stop loss would offer better than a 4:1 &lt;abbr class=&#039;c2c-text-hover&#039; title=&#039;Risk-to-Reward Ratio. e.g.- a 3:1 R/R would entail risking $1 of loss for every $3 of profit potential on the trade.&#039;&gt;R/R&lt;/abbr&gt; (minus whatever downside was needed to provide a sell signal).]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>In reply to <a href="https://rightsideofthechart.com/pall-palladium-trade-setup-price-target-2/#comment-13770">Dean Drummond</a>.</p>
<p>PALL has started to go parabolic. As such, there isn&#8217;t anyone &#8220;clear&#8221; or obvious trendline in which to trigger a high-probability short entry if/when taken out. As such, I will be on watch for any potential bearish reversal candlestick patterns. Here&#8217;s a visual guide to various candlestick patterns: <a href="http://thepatternsite.com/CandleVisual.html" rel="nofollow ugc">http://thepatternsite.com/CandleVisual.html</a><br />
Top that occur after a parabolic advance following an extended <abbr class='c2c-text-hover' title='An uptrend occurs when a security or index is making a series of higher highs &amp; higher lows.'>uptrend</abbr> quite often start off with a bang &#038; are hard to miss although there are some serious supply/demand imbalances going on with palladium so we&#8217;ll just have to assess the charts as they develop &#038; be aware that whipsaw signals are always possible &#038; part of the game. The key is managing the position so if the next sell signal proves to be a false/whipsaw signal, we minimize our losses with a stop &#038; just wait patiently for the next setup if the trade doesn&#8217;t pan out.<br />
If the top in PALL comes anytime soon, I&#8217;m looking for a drop of at least 26% from where it closed on Friday so assume a short entry came with the market resumes trading tomorrow (following the MLK holiday closure today), a 6% stop loss would offer better than a 4:1 <abbr class='c2c-text-hover' title='Risk-to-Reward Ratio. e.g.- a 3:1 R/R would entail risking $1 of loss for every $3 of profit potential on the trade.'>R/R</abbr> (minus whatever downside was needed to provide a sell signal).</p>
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		<title>
		By: Araleia		</title>
		<link>https://rightsideofthechart.com/pall-palladium-trade-setup-price-target-2/#comment-13772</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Araleia]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 17 Jan 2020 18:05:21 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://rightsideofthechart.com/?p=195396#comment-13772</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Randy, will the collapse in palladium affect the price of gold and silver?]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Randy, will the collapse in palladium affect the price of gold and silver?</p>
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		<title>
		By: Dean Drummond		</title>
		<link>https://rightsideofthechart.com/pall-palladium-trade-setup-price-target-2/#comment-13771</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Dean Drummond]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 17 Jan 2020 17:31:37 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://rightsideofthechart.com/?p=195396#comment-13771</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[In reply to &lt;a href=&quot;https://rightsideofthechart.com/pall-palladium-trade-setup-price-target-2/#comment-13769&quot;&gt;kartiksarma&lt;/a&gt;.

You can short PALL.  It&#039;s &quot;hard to borrow&quot; with a higher interest rate, but shares are available to short.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>In reply to <a href="https://rightsideofthechart.com/pall-palladium-trade-setup-price-target-2/#comment-13769">kartiksarma</a>.</p>
<p>You can short PALL.  It&#8217;s &#8220;hard to borrow&#8221; with a higher interest rate, but shares are available to short.</p>
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		<title>
		By: Dean Drummond		</title>
		<link>https://rightsideofthechart.com/pall-palladium-trade-setup-price-target-2/#comment-13770</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Dean Drummond]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 17 Jan 2020 17:17:57 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://rightsideofthechart.com/?p=195396#comment-13770</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[&lt;a class=&#039;bp-suggestions-mention&#039; href=&#039;https://rightsideofthechart.com/members/rsotc/&#039; rel=&#039;nofollow&#039;&gt;@rsotc&lt;/a&gt; On my chart I&#039;m looking for the price area to place my alert for a sell signal should a breakdown begin.  B/c of the nature of PALL&#039;s move up,   I don&#039;t have any one clear and obvious trend line to mark.  One of them is in the 220 area, another down around 205.  Your thoughts?]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a class='bp-suggestions-mention' href='https://rightsideofthechart.com/members/rsotc/' rel='nofollow'>@rsotc</a> On my chart I&#8217;m looking for the price area to place my alert for a sell signal should a breakdown begin.  B/c of the nature of PALL&#8217;s move up,   I don&#8217;t have any one clear and obvious trend line to mark.  One of them is in the 220 area, another down around 205.  Your thoughts?</p>
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		<title>
		By: kartiksarma		</title>
		<link>https://rightsideofthechart.com/pall-palladium-trade-setup-price-target-2/#comment-13769</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[kartiksarma]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 17 Jan 2020 17:09:42 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://rightsideofthechart.com/?p=195396#comment-13769</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[So I understand that there&#039;s no way to short this. Correct?]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>So I understand that there&#8217;s no way to short this. Correct?</p>
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		<title>
		By: Ham77		</title>
		<link>https://rightsideofthechart.com/pall-palladium-trade-setup-price-target-2/#comment-13768</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Ham77]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 17 Jan 2020 17:02:09 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://rightsideofthechart.com/?p=195396#comment-13768</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[most likely it will be huge gap down when it opens &lt;abbr class=&#039;c2c-text-hover&#039; title=&#039;In My Opinion&#039;&gt;imo&lt;/abbr&gt;]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>most likely it will be huge gap down when it opens <abbr class='c2c-text-hover' title='In My Opinion'>imo</abbr></p>
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		<title>
		By: MattChartier		</title>
		<link>https://rightsideofthechart.com/pall-palladium-trade-setup-price-target-2/#comment-13767</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[MattChartier]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 17 Jan 2020 15:45:53 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://rightsideofthechart.com/?p=195396#comment-13767</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[In reply to &lt;a href=&quot;https://rightsideofthechart.com/pall-palladium-trade-setup-price-target-2/#comment-13765&quot;&gt;Dean Drummond&lt;/a&gt;.

great! waiting patienly with cash a side.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>In reply to <a href="https://rightsideofthechart.com/pall-palladium-trade-setup-price-target-2/#comment-13765">Dean Drummond</a>.</p>
<p>great! waiting patienly with cash a side.</p>
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		<title>
		By: MattChartier		</title>
		<link>https://rightsideofthechart.com/pall-palladium-trade-setup-price-target-2/#comment-13766</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[MattChartier]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 17 Jan 2020 15:32:21 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://rightsideofthechart.com/?p=195396#comment-13766</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[In reply to &lt;a href=&quot;https://rightsideofthechart.com/pall-palladium-trade-setup-price-target-2/#comment-13762&quot;&gt;Dean Drummond&lt;/a&gt;.

if you live outside of the US, you can do CFD. Contract for difference (Spread betting)]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>In reply to <a href="https://rightsideofthechart.com/pall-palladium-trade-setup-price-target-2/#comment-13762">Dean Drummond</a>.</p>
<p>if you live outside of the US, you can do CFD. Contract for difference (Spread betting)</p>
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		<title>
		By: Dean Drummond		</title>
		<link>https://rightsideofthechart.com/pall-palladium-trade-setup-price-target-2/#comment-13765</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Dean Drummond]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 17 Jan 2020 15:30:42 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://rightsideofthechart.com/?p=195396#comment-13765</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[In reply to &lt;a href=&quot;https://rightsideofthechart.com/pall-palladium-trade-setup-price-target-2/#comment-13763&quot;&gt;MattChartier&lt;/a&gt;.

Yes, the end is most likely near but one should never underestimate just how far &#038; fast a security can run in the latter stages of a parabolic rally or blow-off top (see Nasdaq circa H2 2000). When the turn finally comes, I wouldn&#039;t be surprised to see /PA drip 20% in a week or less. Last of the shorts (metaphorically, not literally speaking) are being squeezed out here &#038; the bids are likely to collapse once the machines (algos) flip the switch from &quot;buy&quot; to &quot;sell&quot;.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>In reply to <a href="https://rightsideofthechart.com/pall-palladium-trade-setup-price-target-2/#comment-13763">MattChartier</a>.</p>
<p>Yes, the end is most likely near but one should never underestimate just how far &amp; fast a security can run in the latter stages of a parabolic rally or blow-off top (see Nasdaq circa H2 2000). When the turn finally comes, I wouldn&#8217;t be surprised to see /PA drip 20% in a week or less. Last of the shorts (metaphorically, not literally speaking) are being squeezed out here &amp; the bids are likely to collapse once the machines (algos) flip the switch from &#8220;buy&#8221; to &#8220;sell&#8221;.</p>
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		<title>
		By: Dean Drummond		</title>
		<link>https://rightsideofthechart.com/pall-palladium-trade-setup-price-target-2/#comment-13764</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Dean Drummond]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 17 Jan 2020 15:21:16 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://rightsideofthechart.com/?p=195396#comment-13764</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[In reply to &lt;a href=&quot;https://rightsideofthechart.com/pall-palladium-trade-setup-price-target-2/#comment-13762&quot;&gt;Dean Drummond&lt;/a&gt;.

No, to the best of my knowledge (and I&#039;ve searched) there are not any inverse ETFs for palladium. You might come across one on a web search but it is no longer trading.
PALL, /PA (palladium futures) and /PAM (mini palladium futures) are the only direct plays on palladium that I am aware of. Unfortunately, PALL does not have any options (puts or call) and /PA is a rather fat contract, representing a $229k net exposure to palladium while the micro contract is so thinly traded that even Interactive Brokers won&#039;t add it as a security available to trade on their platform (I checked with them as it would have been nice to layer in multiple small lots of /PAM vs. /PA).]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>In reply to <a href="https://rightsideofthechart.com/pall-palladium-trade-setup-price-target-2/#comment-13762">Dean Drummond</a>.</p>
<p>No, to the best of my knowledge (and I&#8217;ve searched) there are not any inverse ETFs for palladium. You might come across one on a web search but it is no longer trading.<br />
PALL, /PA (palladium futures) and /PAM (mini palladium futures) are the only direct plays on palladium that I am aware of. Unfortunately, PALL does not have any options (puts or call) and /PA is a rather fat contract, representing a $229k net exposure to palladium while the micro contract is so thinly traded that even Interactive Brokers won&#8217;t add it as a security available to trade on their platform (I checked with them as it would have been nice to layer in multiple small lots of /PAM vs. /PA).</p>
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		<title>
		By: MattChartier		</title>
		<link>https://rightsideofthechart.com/pall-palladium-trade-setup-price-target-2/#comment-13763</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[MattChartier]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 17 Jan 2020 15:15:11 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://rightsideofthechart.com/?p=195396#comment-13763</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[+8% today. the end is near.
https://www.tradingview.com/x/rs4YQs5W/]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>+8% today. the end is near.<br />
<a href="https://www.tradingview.com/x/rs4YQs5W/" rel="nofollow ugc">https://www.tradingview.com/x/rs4YQs5W/</a></p>
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		<title>
		By: Dean Drummond		</title>
		<link>https://rightsideofthechart.com/pall-palladium-trade-setup-price-target-2/#comment-13762</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Dean Drummond]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 17 Jan 2020 15:07:45 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://rightsideofthechart.com/?p=195396#comment-13762</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[In reply to &lt;a href=&quot;https://rightsideofthechart.com/pall-palladium-trade-setup-price-target-2/#comment-13760&quot;&gt;Dean Drummond&lt;/a&gt;.

Any inverse palladium etfs?]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>In reply to <a href="https://rightsideofthechart.com/pall-palladium-trade-setup-price-target-2/#comment-13760">Dean Drummond</a>.</p>
<p>Any inverse palladium etfs?</p>
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		<title>
		By: Dean Drummond		</title>
		<link>https://rightsideofthechart.com/pall-palladium-trade-setup-price-target-2/#comment-13761</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Dean Drummond]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 17 Jan 2020 15:06:02 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://rightsideofthechart.com/?p=195396#comment-13761</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[In reply to &lt;a href=&quot;https://rightsideofthechart.com/pall-palladium-trade-setup-price-target-2/#comment-13758&quot;&gt;tracyren98@hotmail.com&lt;/a&gt;.

At the moment, No, PPLT is no longer an objective entry as it is approaching my first target/resistance around 97.82 where I would put good odds on a &lt;abbr class=&#039;c2c-text-hover&#039; title=&#039;1) A bounce/pullback off support/resistance and/or a temporary consolidation around that level following a well-established trend leading up to that point. 2) A reaction low or high is a distinct point where the price of a security changed direction.&#039;&gt;reaction&lt;/abbr&gt; off the initial tag of that level. PPLT recently broke out above a large bullish falling wedge on the daily time frame as well as the 84.80 R level &amp; made a successful backtest of the wedge, moving higher from there.
With the odds for a pullback or consolidation soon, it might be best to either wait for a pullback or a solid break &amp; close above 97.82, ideally after some consolidation or a pullback off that level first. If so, next target comes in around 113.81.
One option would be a paired trade; short PALL &amp; long PPLT for a mean-reversion trade. However, paired trades are capital burners (require a lot of buying power in your account) plus, we don&#039;t have any sell signals on palladium yet &amp; one should never underestimate just how far &amp; fast the final stages of a parabolic top can go. Here&#039;s my PPLT chart.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>In reply to <a href="https://rightsideofthechart.com/pall-palladium-trade-setup-price-target-2/#comment-13758">tracyren98@hotmail.com</a>.</p>
<p>At the moment, No, PPLT is no longer an objective entry as it is approaching my first target/resistance around 97.82 where I would put good odds on a <abbr class='c2c-text-hover' title='1) A bounce/pullback off support/resistance and/or a temporary consolidation around that level following a well-established trend leading up to that point. 2) A reaction low or high is a distinct point where the price of a security changed direction.'>reaction</abbr> off the initial tag of that level. PPLT recently broke out above a large bullish falling wedge on the daily time frame as well as the 84.80 R level &#038; made a successful backtest of the wedge, moving higher from there.<br />
With the odds for a pullback or consolidation soon, it might be best to either wait for a pullback or a solid break &#038; close above 97.82, ideally after some consolidation or a pullback off that level first. If so, next target comes in around 113.81.<br />
One option would be a paired trade; short PALL &#038; long PPLT for a mean-reversion trade. However, paired trades are capital burners (require a lot of buying power in your account) plus, we don&#8217;t have any sell signals on palladium yet &#038; one should never underestimate just how far &#038; fast the final stages of a parabolic top can go. Here&#8217;s my PPLT chart.</p>
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		<title>
		By: Dean Drummond		</title>
		<link>https://rightsideofthechart.com/pall-palladium-trade-setup-price-target-2/#comment-13760</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Dean Drummond]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 17 Jan 2020 14:58:53 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://rightsideofthechart.com/?p=195396#comment-13760</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[An example of what happens when paper and physical don&#039;t align. Platinum next?
I live near London, UK. Catalytic converters from Electric Vehicles have been getting hacked off in broad day light. Stories making the news. I guess that&#039;s what happens when you get 450% moves.
Taken from 14th Jan:
&quot;The palladium shortage is intensifying in London today.
1-month lease rate jumping now to 11.8%.
Metal shortage is driving price action.
No paper solution.&quot;
Taken from 16th Jan:
&quot;ALERT NOTE:
London #Palladium lease rates big step move up today:
1 Mo. 21.67%
3-Mo. 17.34%
6-Mo. 12.12%
1-Yr.  8.45%
Supply is breaking.&quot;]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>An example of what happens when paper and physical don&#8217;t align. Platinum next?<br />
I live near London, UK. Catalytic converters from Electric Vehicles have been getting hacked off in broad day light. Stories making the news. I guess that&#8217;s what happens when you get 450% moves.<br />
Taken from 14th Jan:<br />
&#8220;The palladium shortage is intensifying in London today.<br />
1-month lease rate jumping now to 11.8%.<br />
Metal shortage is driving price action.<br />
No paper solution.&#8221;<br />
Taken from 16th Jan:<br />
&#8220;ALERT NOTE:<br />
London #Palladium lease rates big step move up today:<br />
1 Mo. 21.67%<br />
3-Mo. 17.34%<br />
6-Mo. 12.12%<br />
1-Yr.  8.45%<br />
Supply is breaking.&#8221;</p>
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		<title>
		By: Dean Drummond		</title>
		<link>https://rightsideofthechart.com/pall-palladium-trade-setup-price-target-2/#comment-13759</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Dean Drummond]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 17 Jan 2020 14:58:44 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://rightsideofthechart.com/?p=195396#comment-13759</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[In reply to &lt;a href=&quot;https://rightsideofthechart.com/pall-palladium-trade-setup-price-target-2/#comment-13757&quot;&gt;Dean Drummond&lt;/a&gt;.

Good stuff. Thanks for sharing. While I might normally put a decent weighting on seasonality, with palladium now going parabolic after an extended bull run, that might not come into play here. Either way, keeping a close eye on /PA.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>In reply to <a href="https://rightsideofthechart.com/pall-palladium-trade-setup-price-target-2/#comment-13757">Dean Drummond</a>.</p>
<p>Good stuff. Thanks for sharing. While I might normally put a decent weighting on seasonality, with palladium now going parabolic after an extended bull run, that might not come into play here. Either way, keeping a close eye on /PA.</p>
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		<title>
		By: tracyren98@hotmail.com		</title>
		<link>https://rightsideofthechart.com/pall-palladium-trade-setup-price-target-2/#comment-13758</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[tracyren98@hotmail.com]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 17 Jan 2020 14:52:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://rightsideofthechart.com/?p=195396#comment-13758</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Randy, what&#039;s your view on PPLT then?  Is it a buy?]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Randy, what&#8217;s your view on PPLT then?  Is it a buy?</p>
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		<title>
		By: Dean Drummond		</title>
		<link>https://rightsideofthechart.com/pall-palladium-trade-setup-price-target-2/#comment-13757</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Dean Drummond]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 17 Jan 2020 14:49:14 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://rightsideofthechart.com/?p=195396#comment-13757</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[&lt;a class=&#039;bp-suggestions-mention&#039; href=&#039;https://rightsideofthechart.com/members/rsotc/&#039; rel=&#039;nofollow&#039;&gt;@rsotc&lt;/a&gt; Heres PA seasonality and COT positioning. Funds are about 85% long, seasonally maybe mid february top. But lets see how it goes]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a class='bp-suggestions-mention' href='https://rightsideofthechart.com/members/rsotc/' rel='nofollow'>@rsotc</a> Heres PA seasonality and COT positioning. Funds are about 85% long, seasonally maybe mid february top. But lets see how it goes</p>
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