ANother hard day down tomorrow imo folks..

NVDA BAD NEWS ….what do you know!

early….tbd

I can’t think of many securities (stocks, bonds, commodities, etc..), other than maybe crypto, that won’t be affected by the trade wars to some extent or the other. Nothing wrong with trying to factor in the fundamentals in regards to potential impacts from tariffs but just know that is an extremely fluid situation & as such, a considerable higher weighting should be given to the technicals (charts) vs. fundamentals at this time, IMHO at the fundamentals (regarding tariffs & the related impacts) have been changing on a nearly daily basis lately.

Yes, charts of the 10 & 30-yr still constructive coming off those 60m divergent lows at support although I took profits on that /ZB long I took off last week’s lows in keeping with my “harvest gains & sit back to re-assess” plan today.

dont get too carried away .. there are times when he has been dead wrong for a long time.. overall his analysis is well worth the price but i would not get too excited

They literally could starve us to death you’re right at any time. What Trump is doing is not what you think it has nothing to do with tariffs or him going insane. He’s forcing forcing the Federal reserve to rate cuts. Plain and simple that’s what’s going on.

I must say Randy for not having a crystal ball these calls just lately have been out of this world great. First cruising along waiting for emergency rate cut or in this case tariff paws. Then immediately going short. Then getting on the bandwagon for long… It’s just unbelievable that’s what it is. Great work.

The reason I asked is in light of the negative news, the price action and charts look constructive for the grains, as Randy stated. Just trying to assess the potential risks. I trade based on TA, but not in a vacuum from FA.

The answer is like anything else it depends on the time frame that you’re talking about. Tomorrow next week next year at this time. They all have different answers. All I can say is never go against what Randy is suggesting. Truly good luck to you.

There’s already news of China dumping goods.

https://www.cnbc.com/2025/04/14/uk-retailers-warn-of-chinese-dumping-amid-tariffs-call-for-end-to-tax-loophole.html

I am just trying to understand the supply/demand dynamics of the grain markets, particularly wheat, in light of the tariffs. Grains represent the largest percentage of all US goods exported to China.