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	Comments on: Nasdaq 100 Long-Term Analysis 1-4-22	</title>
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	<link>https://rightsideofthechart.com/nasdaq-100-long-term-analysis-1-4-22/</link>
	<description>Stock Trading, Investing &#38; Market Analysis</description>
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		<title>
		By: Mikeflegel		</title>
		<link>https://rightsideofthechart.com/nasdaq-100-long-term-analysis-1-4-22/#comment-22935</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Mikeflegel]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 08 Jan 2022 23:43:43 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://rightsideofthechart.com/?p=207027#comment-22935</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Was Nov 22 the ultimate top of a 12 year run to make 2018 and 2020 falls look like childplay.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Was Nov 22 the ultimate top of a 12 year run to make 2018 and 2020 falls look like childplay.</p>
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		<title>
		By: Mikeflegel		</title>
		<link>https://rightsideofthechart.com/nasdaq-100-long-term-analysis-1-4-22/#comment-22934</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Mikeflegel]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 08 Jan 2022 23:38:47 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://rightsideofthechart.com/?p=207027#comment-22934</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Went back and reviewed this.  Most timely and best observation ever. Now this is sat 1/8. If a person thinks we have only begun down. I believe you are one of them. 
 Monday morning to the elbow is usually up. howt do we play short the safest we can? Thanks Randy. I made a little on sqqq last week but afraid to hold even overnight for fear of losing it. Obviously jumping in tues after this post would have been best. What is best play now??? the next 6 weeks could snowball!!.  Many thanks.  Use the bullhorn at a secular top if you think it is.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Went back and reviewed this.  Most timely and best observation ever. Now this is sat 1/8. If a person thinks we have only begun down. I believe you are one of them.<br />
 Monday morning to the elbow is usually up. howt do we play short the safest we can? Thanks Randy. I made a little on sqqq last week but afraid to hold even overnight for fear of losing it. Obviously jumping in tues after this post would have been best. What is best play now??? the next 6 weeks could snowball!!.  Many thanks.  Use the bullhorn at a secular top if you think it is.</p>
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		<title>
		By: Mikeflegel		</title>
		<link>https://rightsideofthechart.com/nasdaq-100-long-term-analysis-1-4-22/#comment-22918</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Mikeflegel]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 06 Jan 2022 22:41:19 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://rightsideofthechart.com/?p=207027#comment-22918</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[In reply to &lt;a href=&quot;https://rightsideofthechart.com/nasdaq-100-long-term-analysis-1-4-22/#comment-22909&quot;&gt;rsotc&lt;/a&gt;.

Wish I was short wed open]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>In reply to <a href="https://rightsideofthechart.com/nasdaq-100-long-term-analysis-1-4-22/#comment-22909">rsotc</a>.</p>
<p>Wish I was short wed open</p>
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		<title>
		By: rsotc		</title>
		<link>https://rightsideofthechart.com/nasdaq-100-long-term-analysis-1-4-22/#comment-22911</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[rsotc]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 05 Jan 2022 16:50:48 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://rightsideofthechart.com/?p=207027#comment-22911</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[In reply to &lt;a href=&quot;https://rightsideofthechart.com/nasdaq-100-long-term-analysis-1-4-22/#comment-22907&quot;&gt;pbwilli37&lt;/a&gt;.

Excellent point. One doesn&#039;t have to be very adept/nimble at shorting to use some of the non-leverged inverse ETFs once it becomes to become clear that the market &amp; certain sectors have flipped from bullish to bearish (sell signals on daily, weekly &amp; monthly charts, intermediate &amp; long-term trend indicators rolling over, etc..)]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>In reply to <a href="https://rightsideofthechart.com/nasdaq-100-long-term-analysis-1-4-22/#comment-22907">pbwilli37</a>.</p>
<p>Excellent point. One doesn&#8217;t have to be very adept/nimble at shorting to use some of the non-leverged inverse ETFs once it becomes to become clear that the market &#038; certain sectors have flipped from bullish to bearish (sell signals on daily, weekly &#038; monthly charts, intermediate &#038; long-term trend indicators rolling over, etc..)</p>
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		<title>
		By: rsotc		</title>
		<link>https://rightsideofthechart.com/nasdaq-100-long-term-analysis-1-4-22/#comment-22910</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[rsotc]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 05 Jan 2022 16:47:53 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://rightsideofthechart.com/?p=207027#comment-22910</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[In reply to &lt;a href=&quot;https://rightsideofthechart.com/nasdaq-100-long-term-analysis-1-4-22/#comment-22906&quot;&gt;devnat&lt;/a&gt;.

Most commodities (but not all, such as oil) likely to do well although many still in consolidation/correction mode at this time. Gold &amp; especially silver (and the miners) likely to outperform &amp; quite possibly even shine (no pun intended) during the next bear market as there will be a massive amount of $$ coming out of stocks &amp; looking for a home (think flight-to-safety + inflationary trade). I should be able to sniff out some niche sectors &amp; individual stocks that appear poised to rally as well but short of commodities &amp; precious metals (&amp; cash), there might not be many places to hide once the tide in the stock market finally turns for good. Bonds likely to face headwinds in an inflationary/rising rate environment so I&#039;ll likely be only looking for tactical (short-term) trades there for the foreseeable future.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>In reply to <a href="https://rightsideofthechart.com/nasdaq-100-long-term-analysis-1-4-22/#comment-22906">devnat</a>.</p>
<p>Most commodities (but not all, such as oil) likely to do well although many still in consolidation/correction mode at this time. Gold &#038; especially silver (and the miners) likely to outperform &#038; quite possibly even shine (no pun intended) during the next bear market as there will be a massive amount of $$ coming out of stocks &#038; looking for a home (think flight-to-safety + inflationary trade). I should be able to sniff out some niche sectors &#038; individual stocks that appear poised to rally as well but short of commodities &#038; precious metals (&#038; cash), there might not be many places to hide once the tide in the stock market finally turns for good. Bonds likely to face headwinds in an inflationary/rising rate environment so I&#8217;ll likely be only looking for tactical (short-term) trades there for the foreseeable future.</p>
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		<title>
		By: rsotc		</title>
		<link>https://rightsideofthechart.com/nasdaq-100-long-term-analysis-1-4-22/#comment-22909</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[rsotc]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 05 Jan 2022 16:41:56 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://rightsideofthechart.com/?p=207027#comment-22909</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[In reply to &lt;a href=&quot;https://rightsideofthechart.com/nasdaq-100-long-term-analysis-1-4-22/#comment-22905&quot;&gt;Mikeflegel&lt;/a&gt;.

Can&#039;t tell you what to do but I can say that I&#039;m still sitting tight on my index shorts from before the holidays &amp; giving them some room for now with the intention of adding short exposure if/when we break some of the support levels highlighted in today&#039;s (Wed) video that covered the daily &amp; 60-min charts of the $NDX &amp; top components. Not yet time to be aggressively short as the Q&#039;s are still just off ATH&#039;s &amp; within the recent trading range but make sure to check out today&#039;s video for the levels that should increase the odds of a solid double-digit correction if taken out.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>In reply to <a href="https://rightsideofthechart.com/nasdaq-100-long-term-analysis-1-4-22/#comment-22905">Mikeflegel</a>.</p>
<p>Can&#8217;t tell you what to do but I can say that I&#8217;m still sitting tight on my index shorts from before the holidays &#038; giving them some room for now with the intention of adding short exposure if/when we break some of the support levels highlighted in today&#8217;s (Wed) video that covered the daily &#038; 60-min charts of the $NDX &#038; top components. Not yet time to be aggressively short as the Q&#8217;s are still just off ATH&#8217;s &#038; within the recent trading range but make sure to check out today&#8217;s video for the levels that should increase the odds of a solid double-digit correction if taken out.</p>
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		<title>
		By: rsotc		</title>
		<link>https://rightsideofthechart.com/nasdaq-100-long-term-analysis-1-4-22/#comment-22908</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[rsotc]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 05 Jan 2022 16:37:27 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://rightsideofthechart.com/?p=207027#comment-22908</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[In reply to &lt;a href=&quot;https://rightsideofthechart.com/nasdaq-100-long-term-analysis-1-4-22/#comment-22904&quot;&gt;pbwilli37&lt;/a&gt;.

Semi likely to outperform (drop more than SPY &#038; QQQ) on the way down if we get a correction/bear market of the magnitude that I&#039;m looking for. XLF (financials) likely to fall as much or more than the broad market as well especially if my scenario of a flattening yield curve (short-term rates up, long-term rates down) plays out as that hurts their spread &#038; should dampen profits (along with a drop-off in lending).]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>In reply to <a href="https://rightsideofthechart.com/nasdaq-100-long-term-analysis-1-4-22/#comment-22904">pbwilli37</a>.</p>
<p>Semi likely to outperform (drop more than SPY &amp; QQQ) on the way down if we get a correction/bear market of the magnitude that I&#8217;m looking for. XLF (financials) likely to fall as much or more than the broad market as well especially if my scenario of a flattening yield curve (short-term rates up, long-term rates down) plays out as that hurts their spread &amp; should dampen profits (along with a drop-off in lending).</p>
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		<title>
		By: pbwilli37		</title>
		<link>https://rightsideofthechart.com/nasdaq-100-long-term-analysis-1-4-22/#comment-22907</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[pbwilli37]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 05 Jan 2022 12:23:27 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://rightsideofthechart.com/?p=207027#comment-22907</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[In reply to &lt;a href=&quot;https://rightsideofthechart.com/nasdaq-100-long-term-analysis-1-4-22/#comment-22906&quot;&gt;devnat&lt;/a&gt;.

devnat
There are both long and short etf&#039;s and etn&#039;s for almost everything. Many are even , with no leverage and then there are 1,2 and 3 times leverage for both long and short. That is what I was asking Randy about. when you use a 3 times leverage short or long , over time there is price decay. If one is looking for a fast downward move your probably ok with the 3 time , but if holding for 30 days or longer one probably needs to use a a Lesser or non leveraged etf. I have a list but it is not one I can attach at this time maybe Randy does.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>In reply to <a href="https://rightsideofthechart.com/nasdaq-100-long-term-analysis-1-4-22/#comment-22906">devnat</a>.</p>
<p>devnat<br />
There are both long and short etf&#8217;s and etn&#8217;s for almost everything. Many are even , with no leverage and then there are 1,2 and 3 times leverage for both long and short. That is what I was asking Randy about. when you use a 3 times leverage short or long , over time there is price decay. If one is looking for a fast downward move your probably ok with the 3 time , but if holding for 30 days or longer one probably needs to use a a Lesser or non leveraged etf. I have a list but it is not one I can attach at this time maybe Randy does.</p>
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		<title>
		By: devnat		</title>
		<link>https://rightsideofthechart.com/nasdaq-100-long-term-analysis-1-4-22/#comment-22906</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[devnat]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 05 Jan 2022 02:28:06 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://rightsideofthechart.com/?p=207027#comment-22906</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Randy,
if the bear market plays out like you say and it prolongs for 12-18 months, what can we go &quot;long&quot; on? Remember many accounts such as IRA, can be used to short the market. So what do we buy? Gold, metals, commodities ..

It will be good for you to start preparing for the &quot;long&quot; assets for bear market..]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Randy,<br />
if the bear market plays out like you say and it prolongs for 12-18 months, what can we go &#8220;long&#8221; on? Remember many accounts such as IRA, can be used to short the market. So what do we buy? Gold, metals, commodities ..</p>
<p>It will be good for you to start preparing for the &#8220;long&#8221; assets for bear market..</p>
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		<title>
		By: Mikeflegel		</title>
		<link>https://rightsideofthechart.com/nasdaq-100-long-term-analysis-1-4-22/#comment-22905</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Mikeflegel]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 05 Jan 2022 01:17:40 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://rightsideofthechart.com/?p=207027#comment-22905</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Are you saying we Should be out or  short on the qqq Randy?]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Are you saying we Should be out or  short on the qqq Randy?</p>
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		<title>
		By: pbwilli37		</title>
		<link>https://rightsideofthechart.com/nasdaq-100-long-term-analysis-1-4-22/#comment-22904</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[pbwilli37]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 04 Jan 2022 18:17:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://rightsideofthechart.com/?p=207027#comment-22904</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Thanks Randy
Question for you in looking at the Semi&#039;s, Bank&#039;s and indexes what is your recomendations as to the ETF&#039;s to use if this starts to really move to the down side.  I have both the 2 and 3 times long and short symbols I know about the longer time decay in using 3 times but over a say 30 day time period does it make that big of diffrence? Also what is your thoughts on the Banks going forward?]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Thanks Randy<br />
Question for you in looking at the Semi&#8217;s, Bank&#8217;s and indexes what is your recomendations as to the ETF&#8217;s to use if this starts to really move to the down side.  I have both the 2 and 3 times long and short symbols I know about the longer time decay in using 3 times but over a say 30 day time period does it make that big of diffrence? Also what is your thoughts on the Banks going forward?</p>
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