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	Comments on: Fibonacci Clusters &#038; Retracement Levels on the US Stock Indices	</title>
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		<title>
		By: Dean Drummond		</title>
		<link>https://rightsideofthechart.com/fibonacci-clusters-retracement-levels-us-stock-indices-2/#comment-11185</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Dean Drummond]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 24 Mar 2017 17:08:37 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://rightsideofthechart.com/?p=181582#comment-11185</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[In reply to &lt;a href=&quot;https://rightsideofthechart.com/fibonacci-clusters-retracement-levels-us-stock-indices-2/#comment-11182&quot;&gt;lee1&lt;/a&gt;.

I used to find it hard not to feel like the markets were going to keep going up during a counter-trend rally within a &lt;abbr class=&#039;c2c-text-hover&#039; title=&#039;A downtrend occurs when a security or index is making a series of lower lows &#038; lower highs.&#039;&gt;downtrend&lt;/abbr&gt; &#038; vice versa for pullbacks during an &lt;abbr class=&#039;c2c-text-hover&#039; title=&#039;An uptrend occurs when a security or index is making a series of higher highs &#038; higher lows.&#039;&gt;uptrend&lt;/abbr&gt; (in speaking relative to the time frame, meaning we&#039;re are currently only in a short-term/near-term downtrend with the intermediate &#038; long-term trend still clearly bullish).
That holds especially true with counter-trend rallies during pullback, corrections &#038; bear markets as the snap-back rallies are usually very sharp &#038; fast, just like the preceding drops typically are. During corrections, it&#039;s not uncommon to see a sharp bounce on the counter-trend rallies, especially off key support level as we just hit &#038; with divergences confirming, as we also just had, as you have both the shorts covering their positions as well as the long-side dip buyers stepping in (not to mention the flexible, momentum traders that will quickly jump on either side of a rally or sell-off).
This could very well be the start of the next leg up to new ATH&#039;s but I don&#039;t see much, if anything in the charts at this point that indicates that is the most likely case &#038; in fact, I can still make a solid case for more downside, especially on the daily time frames.
BTW- That 60-minute bear flag on QQQ has been foiled, at least as per my previous TL draws on the flag. However, take a look at the QQQ, DIA , IWM, SPY daily charts &#038; you&#039;ll see that there are still some clear bear flag patterns still very much intact although the need to breakdown soon or the symmetry will start to dissipate (i.e.- the flags grow too large or lose their form).]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>In reply to <a href="https://rightsideofthechart.com/fibonacci-clusters-retracement-levels-us-stock-indices-2/#comment-11182">lee1</a>.</p>
<p>I used to find it hard not to feel like the markets were going to keep going up during a counter-trend rally within a <abbr class='c2c-text-hover' title='A downtrend occurs when a security or index is making a series of lower lows &amp; lower highs.'>downtrend</abbr> &amp; vice versa for pullbacks during an <abbr class='c2c-text-hover' title='An uptrend occurs when a security or index is making a series of higher highs &amp; higher lows.'>uptrend</abbr> (in speaking relative to the time frame, meaning we&#8217;re are currently only in a short-term/near-term downtrend with the intermediate &amp; long-term trend still clearly bullish).<br />
That holds especially true with counter-trend rallies during pullback, corrections &amp; bear markets as the snap-back rallies are usually very sharp &amp; fast, just like the preceding drops typically are. During corrections, it&#8217;s not uncommon to see a sharp bounce on the counter-trend rallies, especially off key support level as we just hit &amp; with divergences confirming, as we also just had, as you have both the shorts covering their positions as well as the long-side dip buyers stepping in (not to mention the flexible, momentum traders that will quickly jump on either side of a rally or sell-off).<br />
This could very well be the start of the next leg up to new ATH&#8217;s but I don&#8217;t see much, if anything in the charts at this point that indicates that is the most likely case &amp; in fact, I can still make a solid case for more downside, especially on the daily time frames.<br />
BTW- That 60-minute bear flag on QQQ has been foiled, at least as per my previous TL draws on the flag. However, take a look at the QQQ, DIA , IWM, SPY daily charts &amp; you&#8217;ll see that there are still some clear bear flag patterns still very much intact although the need to breakdown soon or the symmetry will start to dissipate (i.e.- the flags grow too large or lose their form).</p>
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		<item>
		<title>
		By: Dean Drummond		</title>
		<link>https://rightsideofthechart.com/fibonacci-clusters-retracement-levels-us-stock-indices-2/#comment-11184</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Dean Drummond]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 24 Mar 2017 16:58:11 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://rightsideofthechart.com/?p=181582#comment-11184</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[In reply to &lt;a href=&quot;https://rightsideofthechart.com/fibonacci-clusters-retracement-levels-us-stock-indices-2/#comment-11181&quot;&gt;jameske&lt;/a&gt;.

Depends. Sometimes I reverse from short to long or long to short but more so in instances where I&#039;m on the right side of the trend &amp; a key price target(s) is hit where I expect a meaningful &lt;abbr class=&#039;c2c-text-hover&#039; title=&#039;1) A bounce/pullback off support/resistance and/or a temporary consolidation around that level following a well-established trend leading up to that point. 2) A reaction low or high is a distinct point where the price of a security changed direction.&#039;&gt;reaction&lt;/abbr&gt;.
In this case, should the markets continue to move higher from here &amp; this bounce starts to morph into something that appears to be more than just a run-of-the-mill counter trend bounce, then I will scale out of my market shorts (IWM &amp; QQQ) while leaving the stops in place on the individual stocks &amp; ETF, letting those position be taken out (or not) based on their own technicals.
I will not, however, flip from short to long on the index shorts unless the charts are clearly bullish AND offer an objective long entry with above average &lt;abbr class=&#039;c2c-text-hover&#039; title=&#039;Risk-to-Reward Ratio. e.g.- a 3:1 R/R would entail risking $1 of loss for every $3 of profit potential on the trade.&#039;&gt;R/R&lt;/abbr&gt; on the trade, which I would put a near zero probability on over the next 2 weeks or so.
Hope that helps &amp; most importantly, I wanted to impress the point that regardless of what the broad market does, there will always be both long &amp; short trades with clearly bullish or bearish technicals that are likely to be playing out successfully.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>In reply to <a href="https://rightsideofthechart.com/fibonacci-clusters-retracement-levels-us-stock-indices-2/#comment-11181">jameske</a>.</p>
<p>Depends. Sometimes I reverse from short to long or long to short but more so in instances where I&#8217;m on the right side of the trend &#038; a key price target(s) is hit where I expect a meaningful <abbr class='c2c-text-hover' title='1) A bounce/pullback off support/resistance and/or a temporary consolidation around that level following a well-established trend leading up to that point. 2) A reaction low or high is a distinct point where the price of a security changed direction.'>reaction</abbr>.<br />
In this case, should the markets continue to move higher from here &#038; this bounce starts to morph into something that appears to be more than just a run-of-the-mill counter trend bounce, then I will scale out of my market shorts (IWM &#038; QQQ) while leaving the stops in place on the individual stocks &#038; ETF, letting those position be taken out (or not) based on their own technicals.<br />
I will not, however, flip from short to long on the index shorts unless the charts are clearly bullish AND offer an objective long entry with above average <abbr class='c2c-text-hover' title='Risk-to-Reward Ratio. e.g.- a 3:1 R/R would entail risking $1 of loss for every $3 of profit potential on the trade.'>R/R</abbr> on the trade, which I would put a near zero probability on over the next 2 weeks or so.<br />
Hope that helps &#038; most importantly, I wanted to impress the point that regardless of what the broad market does, there will always be both long &#038; short trades with clearly bullish or bearish technicals that are likely to be playing out successfully.</p>
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		<title>
		By: fuzzduzz		</title>
		<link>https://rightsideofthechart.com/fibonacci-clusters-retracement-levels-us-stock-indices-2/#comment-11183</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[fuzzduzz]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 24 Mar 2017 16:41:04 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://rightsideofthechart.com/?p=181582#comment-11183</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Randy... Thanks for a great commentary....]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Randy&#8230; Thanks for a great commentary&#8230;.</p>
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		<title>
		By: lee1		</title>
		<link>https://rightsideofthechart.com/fibonacci-clusters-retracement-levels-us-stock-indices-2/#comment-11182</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[lee1]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 24 Mar 2017 16:30:31 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://rightsideofthechart.com/?p=181582#comment-11182</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[I was going to comment on how I thought the &quot;correction&quot; seemed to be over but your chart points out how that may not yet be the case.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I was going to comment on how I thought the &#8220;correction&#8221; seemed to be over but your chart points out how that may not yet be the case.</p>
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		<title>
		By: jameske		</title>
		<link>https://rightsideofthechart.com/fibonacci-clusters-retracement-levels-us-stock-indices-2/#comment-11181</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[jameske]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 24 Mar 2017 16:30:22 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://rightsideofthechart.com/?p=181582#comment-11181</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[&lt;a href=&#039;http://rightsideofthechart.com/members/rsotc/&#039;&gt;@rsotc&lt;/a&gt; Hi Randy, when you cover, do you just close your short positions and go to cash with them, or do you then go long and buy, in a sense, always being in the market rather than in cash?]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href='http://rightsideofthechart.com/members/rsotc/'>@rsotc</a> Hi Randy, when you cover, do you just close your short positions and go to cash with them, or do you then go long and buy, in a sense, always being in the market rather than in cash?</p>
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		<title>
		By: toby		</title>
		<link>https://rightsideofthechart.com/fibonacci-clusters-retracement-levels-us-stock-indices-2/#comment-11180</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[toby]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 24 Mar 2017 16:26:03 +0000</pubDate>
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					<description><![CDATA[Thanks Randy, I guess will have to keep a close watch!]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Thanks Randy, I guess will have to keep a close watch!</p>
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