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	Comments on: Asset Allocation &#038; Stock Market Analysis 11-13-19	</title>
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		<title>
		By: Dean Drummond		</title>
		<link>https://rightsideofthechart.com/asset-allocation-stock-market-analysis-11-13-19-2/#comment-13418</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Dean Drummond]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 14 Nov 2019 14:31:15 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://rightsideofthechart.com/?p=194268#comment-13418</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[In reply to &lt;a href=&quot;https://rightsideofthechart.com/asset-allocation-stock-market-analysis-11-13-19-2/#comment-13417&quot;&gt;Rekar&lt;/a&gt;.

Agreed. A lot of very smart money managers with solid long-term track records agree that the long-term outlook &#038; return potential for both equities &#038; bonds is very unfavorable. Those that doubt that can simply read up on the similarities to the massive credit bubble that popped in the US &#038; many European countries circa 2008 when the US &#038; other major CB&#039;s, just like Japan nearly 2 decades before us, embarked on massive &#038; unprecedented (at the time) intervention in the financial markets including, (just like the BOJ back then) a ZIRP &#038; &lt;abbr class=&#039;c2c-text-hover&#039; title=&#039;Quantitative easing (QE) is a type of monetary policy used by central banks to stimulate the economy when standard monetary policy has become ineffective.&#039;&gt;QE&lt;/abbr&gt; after their comparable credit bubble burst back in the early 90&#039;s: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lost_Decade_(Japan)
Here&#039;s how the $Nikkei did since then ( I turned of log scaling for dramatic effect although it levels are the levels &#038; the net effect is the same)...
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			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>In reply to <a href="https://rightsideofthechart.com/asset-allocation-stock-market-analysis-11-13-19-2/#comment-13417">Rekar</a>.</p>
<p>Agreed. A lot of very smart money managers with solid long-term track records agree that the long-term outlook &amp; return potential for both equities &amp; bonds is very unfavorable. Those that doubt that can simply read up on the similarities to the massive credit bubble that popped in the US &amp; many European countries circa 2008 when the US &amp; other major CB&#8217;s, just like Japan nearly 2 decades before us, embarked on massive &amp; unprecedented (at the time) intervention in the financial markets including, (just like the BOJ back then) a ZIRP &amp; <abbr class='c2c-text-hover' title='Quantitative easing (QE) is a type of monetary policy used by central banks to stimulate the economy when standard monetary policy has become ineffective.'>QE</abbr> after their comparable credit bubble burst back in the early 90&#8217;s: <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lost_Decade_(Japan)" rel="nofollow ugc">https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lost_Decade_(Japan)</a><br />
Here&#8217;s how the $Nikkei did since then ( I turned of log scaling for dramatic effect although it levels are the levels &amp; the net effect is the same)&#8230;<br />
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		<title>
		By: Rekar		</title>
		<link>https://rightsideofthechart.com/asset-allocation-stock-market-analysis-11-13-19-2/#comment-13417</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Rekar]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 14 Nov 2019 05:42:49 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://rightsideofthechart.com/?p=194268#comment-13417</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Thanks Randy. This has been one of the most drawn out market for awhile. Really nothing has happened except the divergences building and building. I really have stopped paying attention. I&#039;ve calculated my losses and gains on my long vol trade and have alll my sell points are prearranged, Nothing to do but stare out the window now.
I was looking at the chart you showed at the end and those percent gains surely can&#039;t be right now. Both the equities and bond markets are set to return little or no value going forward no matter what ratio you use. All this financial engineering has made the bond market nearly as dangerous as the equity market and there have been periods where they haven&#039;t been negatively correlated.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Thanks Randy. This has been one of the most drawn out market for awhile. Really nothing has happened except the divergences building and building. I really have stopped paying attention. I&#8217;ve calculated my losses and gains on my long vol trade and have alll my sell points are prearranged, Nothing to do but stare out the window now.<br />
I was looking at the chart you showed at the end and those percent gains surely can&#8217;t be right now. Both the equities and bond markets are set to return little or no value going forward no matter what ratio you use. All this financial engineering has made the bond market nearly as dangerous as the equity market and there have been periods where they haven&#8217;t been negatively correlated.</p>
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