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    US Equity Markets Overview

    My commentary on the broad market has been unusually light in recent weeks as I've had little interest or desire to trade typical equities, other than a couple of recent short trades, instead focusing on select commodities & precious metals. Although I haven't posted many updated charts lately, I have kept the US broad market [...]

    Dec 10, 2014 5:47pm|Categories: Equity Market Analysis|Tags: , , , |Comments Off on US Equity Markets Overview

    Last Chance To Refinance?

    The yield on the U.S. 10-year Treasury bond dipped below 2% for the first time since June 2013. For anyone that might have missed an opportunity to refinance over the last few years this could be the last trough in rates before the train leaves the station for good. As today, the average rate on [...]

    Oct 15, 2014 12:42pm|Categories: Fixed Income (Bonds)|Tags: |Comments Off on Last Chance To Refinance?

    Correction in Treasury Bonds Likely

    Long-dated treasury bond yields (10-30 year) have been in a downtrend that kicked off on the first trading day of 2014. Based on my interpretation of the charts below, that trend has likely run its course, at least in the near-term as the odds for a correction (bond prices down/rates up) are quite elevated at [...]

    May 15, 2014 1:55pm|Categories: Fixed Income (Bonds)|Tags: , , |Comments Off on Correction in Treasury Bonds Likely

    Treasuries & Junk Bonds

    A link to the live, annotated chart of TLT (iShares Barclays 20+ Year Treasury Bond Fund ETF) has been added to the Live Charts Links page.  A link to that page has also been added to the gray navigation menu at the top of the home page as well.  As the screenshot of the TLT [...]

    Jan 23, 2014 12:35pm|Categories: Equity Market Analysis, Fixed Income (Bonds)|Tags: , , |Comments Off on Treasuries & Junk Bonds

    Equity & Fixed Income Markets Overview

    The first series of charts below are some of the major US stock indices, including annotations.  Basically, most US indices, other than the Dow Jones Industrials, continue to make higher highs while nearly all key momentum indicators and price oscillators continue to print lower highs (i.e.- negative divergences).  Such multi-month divergences were also formed leading up to correction in the 4th quarter of 2012.  Divergences of such magnitude don't always play out for a significant correction but more often than not, they do.  This has been [...]

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    Oct 18, 2013 1:08pm|Categories: Equity Market Analysis, Fixed Income (Bonds), Trading Tips|Tags: , , , , , |Comments Off on Equity & Fixed Income Markets Overview

    Treasuries Breaking Out

    Back on August 26th, I became bullish on bonds (i.e.-bond prices up, rates down).  While some of the reasoning for a reversal in rates (treasury yields were just a day or two off multi-year highs at the time) was predicated on a flight to safety from a pullback in the equity markets, which has so [...]

    Sep 24, 2013 3:36pm|Categories: Equity Market Analysis, Fixed Income (Bonds)|Tags: , |Comments Off on Treasuries Breaking Out

    TLT Target & Scenario

    This 4 hour chart shows my preferred scenario for TLT with the initial, and possibly final (TBD) target.  The 38.2% fib retracement is not only a commonly hit level on counter-trend bounces but also happens to line up well with horizontal resistance, including volume at price (VAP) resistance, as defined by the top of that [...]

    Aug 30, 2013 2:20pm|Categories: Fixed Income (Bonds)|Tags: , |Comments Off on TLT Target & Scenario
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