The Equity Market Analysis category contains all post, including charts, analysis & other commentary, relating to all aspects of global equity (stock) markets.
Here's an updated version of the phenomenon that I refer to as "The OpEx Ramp", which is the somewhat fairly consistent historical tendency of the market to rally into standard options expiration (the 3rd Friday of each month shown with the red vertical lines) with that rally typically followed by an equal or greater correctionusually [...]
QQQ (Nasdaq 100 Tracking ETF) will be added as an official, yet somewhat aggressive short trade in anticipation of a breakdown & likely gap below this minor uptrend line next week. The final target at this time is 121.82 (or the purple uptrend line, should that come in first if/when QQQ approaches the 122 area). [...]
A break & 60-minute close below this trendline/price channel on SPY in conjunction with a break below the comparable uptrend line on the 15-minute QQQ chart will likely be the catalyst for a move down to the 232 support level & ultimately beyond while a break & 60-minute close below this trendline also in conjunction [...]
This video makes the case for an impenitent correction in the US stock market most likely starting next week or possibly sooner. I also share a few trading strategies on how to capitalize on a potential swift pullback in the market while minimizing & quantifying downside risk (loss potential).
VRX was highlighted as a potential long-side trade idea by @qlikely in the trading room. My take on the daily chart is: A divergent low (positive/bullish divergences in place at the recent low) Breakout above the white bullish falling wedge pattern Recent breakout & low-level back-test of the primary (yellow) downtrend line. VRT daily [...]
The near-term outlook for the US stock market via SPY, QQQ & IWM followed by analysis on GLD, GDX, UUP & several trade ideas including GILD, CARA & SMH.
Member @hardsix inquired within the trading room as to whether or not PCLN (The Priceline Group Inc) looked like a potential shorting candidate as the stock is very over-extended. On the first chart below (2-year, daily time frame) potential divergences are in place as PCLN makes the most recent & most extreme overbought reading in [...]